First their fund raising numbers to date:
Hagel: $1.1 million
It would seem that this is advantage Hagel, but Chuck’s numbers are a bit misleading. When Hagel’s guy Kevin Chapman said a few weeks ago that their numbers would be “well beyond” Bruning’s, he was referring to their fundraising since 2003. Well, we would hope they’d be over that. We confess that we assumed Chapman was talking about Hagel’s 2007 second quarter numbers.
When we look at the second quarter of 2007, we get:
Advantage Bruning. And then when we look at cash on hand we see;
Now while this would seem to indicate a serious lead by Bruning – and it’s not negligible – we would note that it’s unlikely that Bruning can keep up the rate at which he’s been raising cash. While the money won’t exactly dry up, it’s going to be much more difficult for him to come in at those high numbers the next quarter.
And Chapman’s quote that “we will have all the money we need to win” is probably true. Remember that Hagel will definitely have the PAC money advantage over Bruning – it will come much easier to the incumbent. And don’t forget that Hagel hasn’t even formally announced yet, and that there are many who are holding back donating until he does.
So again, we look up, and to the right, at our Chuck Hagel Countdown clock, to see the seconds tick…tick…tick away. Those eight guys aren’t the only ones watching…