As Cosmo Kramer famously put it, there’s nothing like some fine odds on the latest prospect.
And as you know, we here on Leavenworth Street like to put it all in perspective. So while there’s hardly any news coming out of the Chuck Hagel camp right now — a GOP dinner here, a Husker football practice there — that won’t stop us from laying down our latest odds on what he will do in the coming days, weeks or month(s).
So without further ado, here are…
The Chuck Hagel Odds!
Odds that Chuck will run for President as a Republican
Does anyone really think he has a shot? There’s really no time left. He has no organization, no money, has received little press lately and the anti-war Republican spot has been filled by Ronpaul. We just don’t see this as likely.
Odds that Chuck will run on the Unity ’08 ticket
While Mike Bloomberg has effectively taken himself out of consideration for this gig, the name of former Senator Sam Nunn (D-GA) has come up. A Nunn-Hagel paring wouldn’t be out of the question — they seem to be cut from the same cloth. But would Hagel be interested in tilting at windmills? We think he’s a pretty pragmatic guy, and isn’t likely to go chasing gooses.
Odds that Chuck will run for re-election to the U.S. Senate
He’s behind in money. He’s (maybe) behind in the polls. He hasn’t exactly been pulling a Haldaub visiting every county. It just doesn’t SEEM like he plans on running or that his heart is in it. But if Mike Johanns (or even Bob Kerrey) doesn’t want to run, does Hagel want to give the seat to Jon Bruning? That could possibly keep him in, and thus keeps these odds slightly lower.
Odds that he won’t run for anything, but will finagle himself a cabinet-type job in the next administration
In a Democrat Admin – 2:1
In a Republican Admin – 4:1
Doesn’t it seem like he would like to be a Secretary of State or Defense, World Bank President, an Ambassador or some such?
Odds that Chuck will leave public service altogether
Being his own man, it still seems like Chuck Hagel would rather work for Chuck Hagel, instead of being at the beck and call of some other elected official. This may be the best bet, but it takes him out of the public eye that he has enjoyed for the past eleven years. Is this where Chuck will end up? What’s your bet?
(And tomorrow we’ll lay down the odds of the various candidates running if Hagel does indeed pull out of the Senate race!)