A few thoughts:
First, how about the fact that Kleeb plans on announcing his intentions on Monday? Guess who is also announcing on Monday…Tony Raimondo!
Now it’s one thing for Kleeb to get into the race at the 11th hour after Raimondo (via Ben Nelson) went to all the effort to switch parties, hire a staff (like former NDP spokesman, Eric Fought), and arrange and announcement at Behlen. But then Kleeb, knowing his announcement will garner more interest among party faithful, goes and steps on Raimondo’s gig!
(Friends, in politics, this is known as a d*ck-move.)
Don’t think that the powers-that-be in the party (namely E. Ben Nelson) won’t forget about this move by Kleeb.
But the bigger question for Kleeb is…why get in?
For Raimondo, it’s easy. He’s old and this is his one shot at taking such an office. He’s got some money to blow… and switch parties? What the hell. If he loses, he can go back to being the king of the hill in Columbus and spend his retirement sipping pina coladas and getting caught in the rain.
But for Kleeb? Sure, if he makes it all the way through, lightning could strike. Everyone could decide that Mike Johanns is the devil and that Kleeb is more than just the Hot Rancher. And on that same day Kleeb might also hit the Lotto and discover a cure for lumbago. It’s possible right? Sure it is.
Probable? Not so much.
And there’s the rub. The primary will be forgettable (even as all the Dems are getting pumped about it). If Kleeb wins — big deal, he beat a Republican in a Democrat primary. He loses? His short political career will get even shorter.
But even if he wins the primary, and even if he rides Obama’s coat-tails as far as they’ll get him, he is much more than likely to lose to Johanns. And probably lose badly. And even if he loses in versus-Adrian Smith style (by 10%), what does he get out of that? It’s not as if he’s going to ride that loss into a House seat or the Governor’s office, or into another Senate seat. A loss is a loss is a loss.
And this will be another loss for Kleeb, no matter how you slice it.
But hey, it beats working for a living, right Scott?