As in past elections, Leavenworth Street is here to post the odds for winners of the major races in tomorrow’s election.
At one hour intervals we will then post the odds for Nebraska’s U.S. Senate race, the Presidential race in the 2nd District, and finally the 2nd Congressional District race.
As usual, these odds are not to be used for gambling purposes, unless you are in the States of Nevada, New Jersey or Carter Lake.
3rd Congressional District Odds
Adrian Smith: OFF THE Jay Stoddard: BOARD
Smith over / under: 68%
We don’t see any chance of Adrian Smith losing this race, so we have taken the odds off the board.
Smith’s challenger, Jay Stoddard, has been a successful businessman. That being said, the 78 year old Stoddard hasn’t raised any significant money, has had pretty much no advertising, and is wont to say things like, “I love this state and I believe I love it more than Adrian Smith.“
Uh, OK Mr. Stoddard.
So why won’t Adrian Smith get 100% of the vote? Because the turnout is going to be through the roof in this election and like it or not, the national wave of the Democrat party is going to splash Nebraska. Adrian shoes might get a little damp from that wave.
1st Congressional District Odds
Jeff Fortenberry: OFF THE Max Yashirin: BOARD
Fortenberry over / under: 60%
As in the 3rd District race, we don’t see any way Jeff Fortenberry loses his race tomorrow, therefore we have completely pulled it off the board.
Max Yashirin, a very young veteran but otherwise with less experience than Jim Esch or Scott Kleeb (and that’s saying something), somehow got thrown into this election.
Anyway, we are going to place Fort’s numbers at 60%. There are plenty of Dems in the 1st who will vote Obama/Yashirin, so Max will get some votes. And he could even push Fort down to the 50’s. But after tomorrow, the Dems best chance of getting rid of Fortenberry will have vanished.
U.S. Senate odds coming at 10:30 AM CST.