John McCain — 3:2
Barack Obama — Even
McCain over / under: 52%
Yup, we think this will be close. And we may even be giving Obama too much credit in this traditionally RED district.
But with the amount of cash the Obama camp originally put into western Iowa advertising — via Omaha’s media market — and then with the offices and paid staff, they have definitely put NE-2 in play. Early voting numbers indicate that the Dems will do their best to make their mark.
But remember that Republicans out-register Democrats in this district — both of whom are likely to vote along party-lines, making the difference makers the Independents.
In the past the I’s have leaned Republican. In 2004, Bush carried the District with 60% of the vote.
So while we give Obama and the Dems their due, we don’t think they can turn around 10%.
But, we think it could be close.
1st and 3rd Congressional District voters, give us your opinions on what the over / under for McCain will be in your district!