This is going to be a multi-post day.
We’re going to start with the first majorly contested City Council race — District 3.
We think this race is going to be close.
The candidates are:
Brian Buescher (R), Steve Cross (R), Jim Farho (D), Chris Jerram (D), Chip Maxwell (R), Crystal Rhodes (D).
We think this race comes down to three candidates, but it will be interesting to see how the others affect those three.
Brian Buescher, Chris Jerram and Chip Maxwell are our three top picks — but only two get to advance.
Keep in mind this is Jim Vokal’s current district. Vokal is a Republican and, as an incumbent, beat Anne Boyle back in 2005 for this seat. But make no mistake, this is a Democrat district.
So Chris Jerram would seem to have an edge, right? Well, maybe. Jerram’s problem is that Jim Farho and Crystal Rhodes are Democrats fairly involved in their neighborhoods. Could those two peel off enough of Jerram’s Democrat votes?
Note that in his mailers, “Democrat” is featured prominently for Jerram. And then there’s all the “Green” talk that’s gives many mid-town Dems a warm happy feeling. Jerram is no idiot in glomming onto that vibe.
Brian Buescher on the other hand is pushing for the “tough on crime” vote. That’s an issues that gets to the heart of many in mid-town (or whatever the proper name is these days). Law and order is never a bad way to go.
And Buescher, like Jerram, has raised enough cash to help to get his message out.
And Chip Maxwell? He’s really pushing his name ID in his old County Board district. His “A Name You Know and Trust” slogan, harkens us back to that crappy Eddie Murphy movie where Eddie’s character had the same name as the former office holder and he ran for Congress as “the name you know”, and won.
Not to say that Chip is any way comparable, but the lower funded Maxwell (as compared to Jerram or Buescher) has a bigger advantage in name ID, and absolutely has to ride that pony as far as we can. (And ouch!, that’s some serious reading in the second piece. Definitely giving voters the benefit of the doubt that they’ll read it.)
So who pulls this out?
It’s tempting to just go with the top two funded candidates. But Maxwell’s name ID will be tough.
We’re going to pick Jerram and Buescher, just to make a call.
But it could easily be Jerram and Maxwell.
Or Buescher and Maxwell.
That’s why they vote.
Many more predictions on ALL the races coming through the rest of the day (and hopefully completing them all before 5pm).
Come on back!