As required by State Blogging Law, we state that these odds are for recreational purposes only and specifically may not be walked across the Bob Kerrey Loitering Bridge and slammed down before a riverboat book maker, while screaming, “Gimme the Over!”
Without further ado…
While Jim Suttle had shown some cockiness regarding this race, our feeling is that the Daub camp has worked hard to get their hard-cores to turn out. Furthermore, Suttle’s ambivalence to giving any details about his plans as Mayor has soured many toward him.
We believe the Undecideds will side with the Devil They Know, as it were, but nonetheless believe it will be a relatively close race.
Both sides will be working hard until the last bell. But who will work harder?
Hal Daub – 1:4
Jim Suttle – 2:1
Over/Under Daub – 52%
Ben Gray won the Primary by six votes. But then just 3,900 people voted. What will happen if more turn out? We think the Ernie Chambers backed Frank brown will pull it out. Are there any big reasons for voters to kick Brown out of office? Anything glaring?
Anyway, we started with Gray’s name up. Then switched to Brown. Back to Gray. Then landed on Brown. Really, it’s essentially what happens with Ben Nelson’s hair stylist…
Frank Brown – Even
Ben Gray – 2:1
Over/Under Brown – 51%
Again, we’re all over the board on this one.
We’re going back and forth on Maxwell. With larger turnout, he has the name ID. He lost his County Board race, but that was to Marc Kraft, who also had good name ID.
But we’re leaning Maxwell now, mainly based on name ID. Maxwell has also sent out a “comparative” mailing, so he’s not sitting back — having learned from his last race.
Of course the thing that gives us pause here is that it’s a majority Dem district, and the Democrats prevailed over the Republicans in the Primary 54%-46%.
So could this go either way? Sure. But ya gotta put the odds somewhere…
Chip Maxwell – Even
Chris Jerram – 3:2
Over/under Maxwell 52%
Jean Stothert beat Jon Blumenthal 65% – 35% in the Primary. Both sides have worked hard, but we see no real reason why these numbers change much.
Jean Stothert – 1:20
Jon Blumenthal – 40:1
Over/Under Stothert 60%
Walt Peffer has been charging hard with TV and mail to knock Franklin Thompson. But Peffer’s charges against Thompson are fairly difficult to nail on one person.
Walt Peffer – 4:1
Over/Under Thompson 53%
(You can’t gloat later unless you post a prediction of your own, under a name or sobriquet.)