Nebraska 2nd District Congressman Lee Terry’s re-election race has been upgraded to “Republican Favored” by political analyst Stuart Rothenberg.
Terry’s race against state Senator Tom White had been listed as “Lean Republican” by the Rothenberg Political Report — mainly based on Barack Obama’s success in gaining the 2nd District’s Electoral Vote in 2008.
Oh how times have changed.
And with the changes in President Obama’s fortunes, so go those who support him and his policies.
Guys like Tom White.
White had hitched his wagon to Obama and Nebraska Senator Ben Nelson whom he believed would lead him to the promised land.
Instead, that wagon train has lead to a dry gulch filled with cacti, rattle snakes and Jim Backus in that Brady Bunch episode. (In this analogy, Lee Terry would be off eating beans with Jimmy Pakaya…but we digress…)
If it makes Tom White feel any better, his fortune is similar to lots of other Democrat contenders for House races, as well as many incumbent Democrats.
Rothenberg is predicting a pickup of 24 – 28 seats for House Republicans in the fall, “with higher Republican gains possible”. (He even whispers the words “Republican Majority”, but let’s not jinx it.)
After the Cornhusker Kickback, Ben’s Betrayal and the Scott (Brown) Heard Round the World, we’re not all that shocked. The rise of Tom White has always been based upon Obama. White’s sinking was just as expected.
In the mean time, Lee Terry just continues to work.
Don’t think that he will do anything less than run like he is ten points behind. Those who analyzed his 2008 victory showed that Terry won because of his organization on the ground — that in the year of Obama rallies and HQ openings.
In this off-year expect Terry and his campaign to re-load and never stop.
In the mean time, White is in a pissing match with the Mayor of Omaha. Everyone has their strategy, we suppose…