Keep an eye on the Nebraska delegation checking their smart phones.
You have seen all the pros and cons for why the Mayor should or shouldn’t be kicked out. Heck, we found it a little interesting that the OWH jumped the gun today and listed everyone who they think will run (Neary was a new name to us) if he gets a Timberland in the shorts.
But still a better question (at this point) is, Who will WIN?
And no one really knows, eh? We haven’t seen any polling of Likely Voters (homeless voters excepted, of course).
So we asked a bunch of our favorite local politicos, and here is what we got — absolutely weighted by Republicans, but more than just two Dems:
So you can see from our sample that almost half thinks it will be VERY close.
But just over half put it at pretty much a blow-out — with one of those pro-Suttle.
So while many many think it will be close, we wonder if it will be more like the Terry-White Election Evening with a slam down.
Of those who are in-the-know, we have heard that each side is very confident in the ground-game they have run. It is all about GOTV, and both have said that they think they are getting their peeps to the polls.
But we will throw this out: there were quite a few fence sitters out there. And the fence sitters have been watching the politics of this recall election.
While Mayor Suttle came in with the positive numbers on the city finances, to many it was just another reminder of increased taxes — and possibly a certain display that they were increased too much. And will the Omaha Mayor find out in August that those numbers were bogus — much like Suttle says he did after the last election? We have heard from many skeptics.
But, like it or not, the whole pay-the-homeless-to-vote shenanigans have hurt Suttle. Much of this recall has been about what a political screw-up his administration has been from the start, and those political maneuvers only reinforced that.
It made people angry. And when the Mayor at first defended it, it made people even more pissed. It is an easy closing item for voters to recall.
And we think that is what they will end up doing.
Recall, 56% – 44%.
(But then again, who knows?)