We were a little surprised, along with others, about Congressman Lee Terry’s “consideration” of a Senate run.
It was an interesting theory — in a crowded primary he could win the 2nd District, and thereby beat the rest of the field.
But even that would have been very risky for Terry, who is climbing the ladder in the House. He gets noticeably more national press and addresses the big issues of the day in his committee (we have seen a big change in the past year, and we read this stuff everrrrrrry day).
Sure he may have had a decent shot at the Senate seat, but it was not necessarily a better chance than his current gig. We understand the grind of running every two years though.
Oh, and Don Walton says Baby Buffett isn’t going to run for Congress…this year.
But there seems to definitely be a Democrat candidate who is currently organizing, and we are waiting to see whose name pops up. It will be a different dynamic running in 2012.
Interesting theory by Senator Ben Nelson on the pipeline issue — that the individual states have full “siting authority”.
Of course Ben has jumped into the whole issue at the point he can make as much political hay as possible — essentially getting a few swipes in against Governor Dave.
But his theory that the states can decide where the pipe goes is a goofy idea, at best. Note first that the pipeline will cross an international border, so that clearly makes is a federal issue.
Then think about each state deciding exactly where a pipeline will run (as noted by Senator Mike Johanns). Let’s get beyond the idea of each state Senator (and state Rep, in the other 49) guiding a pipeline in or out of their individual districts to gain favor one way or another with their voters. But just think about the connect four game that would have to go on in order to connect one end of the hose to the next, state by state.
What if South Dakota decides that the pipeline should exit at Yankton but Nebraska says it should come in just north of Chadron? (We will pause while you Omahans look at a map…. …. …) What are you going to do? Run the pipeline half and half across the border?
Under the Nelson Theory, I-80 would have left Iowa around Sioux City, then you would put your car on a ferry to travel down the Mighty Mo to the landing point at Nebraska City, where you would drive across Nebraska stopping in Lincoln, Omaha, Fremont, Norfolk, Valentine, Mullen, through McCook (of course), back up through Chappell and then out via Chadron. And then a mule cart would carry your vehicle down to Cheyenne and Denver — assuming their state Legislatures had systems through those cities.
Should there be requirements for a pipe? Yes. And there already are.
Should there be studies completed? Yes. And there have been two over the past three years.
Look, we get the NIMBY going on with some of the local land owners. But 93% of them have already given their O.K .for the pipeline. Not for oil from Iran or Venezuela — but from Canada.
So we understand that the Sierra Clubs and Kleebs of the world simply want to kill this project because they think the Canadian oil isn’t as sweet as the Saudi Arabian oil. And that this whole pipeline issue is just another way that they can stall the whole thing.
But don’t think for a minute that if the pipeline was passed along in maple leaf-lined funnel, with beaver skin pelts to mop up any spills, along some other magical route that was approved by Jacques Cousteau and Marlin Perkins, that Jane Kleeb and her gang would be for it. They are against the oil and will fight it no matter what anyone else does or says.
We noted a couple of months ago that 3rd District Congressional candidate Dennis Parker could find himself in a new district for his primary campaign.
And low and behold, Parker has landed in the new 1st District, and instead of moving to the next county, will instead take on Jeff Fortenberry for the nomination.
Good luck, and all that, Mr. Parker.
The Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza still lists Nebraska as the #2 most likely state to switch parties in the Senate in 2012 (that would be Ben Nelson’s current desk).
And the Cook Political reports did an exhaustive analysis of the current race as well (through a pay wall), concluding that the race is a “Toss Up”. Which has to be a joy of a report for the Nelson campaign.
Essentially they say that Nelson is raising lots of money, has been there a while, and that the GOP primary will be a battle.
Which is all true, but get back to us after the primary is over, and then see what the view of Nelson’s chances are. We doubt it will be seen as a toss up at that point.
The Cook Report, frankly, hammers Don Stenberg for his past campaigns — essentially saying he should have clobbered Ben Nelson in 2000, but had an inept campaign. They then go on to talk about Jon Bruning’s career, and essentially says they don’t know enough yet about Deb Fischer.
We will be interested to see what kind of support Fischer gets out of the gate once she officially announces. If she gets immediate support, others will be much more likely to jump on the wagon — or at least take higher notice. The support she gathers over the spring and early summer will be a good indication of what she can do over the next nine months or so.
In case you missed it, Governor Dave has thrown in his hat (and now has hat-hair) for Mitt Romney for President. Not real surprising, considering he did the same for Romney four years ago.
But with Romney opting out of the Iowa Straw Poll, any influence Nebraska’s Governor may have had over Iowegians is probably lost. Who knows if Romney will make more of an effort for the Iowa Caucuses in February, but it looks more like his plan is to head east for his plan to win it.
From the candidates at last night’s debate, we still think Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty will take the lead in neighboring Iowa. We like Herman Cain, but never holding office is a big hit against him, electability-wise. We don’t think Bachman or Santorum will crack much of the vote. And Newt seems to have seen his star rise and fall.
Pawlenty will probably need to excite some people, but he comes across as calm and insightful, and has solid experience and ideas as a Governor. If we were betting right now, we would say it will come down to T-Paw versus Mitt. But man, is it ever early so who knows what could happen.
And just for the pure excitement of it, when you make a comment to today’s post, at the end, state who you would vote for if the Presidential election were held today.
Can be Romney, Pawlenty, Obama, Palin, Perry, Giuliani, Heineman, Nader — or whomever you choose. You can give a reason, or none at all. But it should be interesting to see who you’re gunning for.
And list who you would LIKE to vote for, not who you think will win. Always a different dynamic.
And thanks to all you who have already clicked through Leavenworth Street’s Amazon.com link. When you buy something on Amazon — first clicking through the ads on our site — we get a tiny taste of your purchase, from Amazon. No additional cost to you, for stuff you were going to buy anyway. Hopefully we can keep the lights on around here, a nickel or so at a time. Your participation is GREATLY appreciated!