First in Papillion, the 700 or so folks seemed to have a gas at the HeatLand… er Heartland Libertyfest. They also conducted the first straw-poll of the season. We can report the results of the poll of the Nebraska Senate race as this:
Deb Fischer – 8.32
Patrick Flynn – 2.88
Any Libertarian – 2.59
Jon Bruning – 2.49
Don Stenberg – 2.39
Spencer Zimmerman – 0.54
Ben Nelson – 0.16
This won’t add up to 100 mathematicians. People were asked to rate the candidate on a 1-10 scale, and these are how the numbers averaged out. Unfortunately, apparently the voting booth didn’t get set up until later in the afternoon — and it wasn’t exactly 75 with a light breeze — so many people had already taken off. So these results were from 110 straw-poll voters.
It seems that either the peeps there really like Deb Fischer, the Fischer folks were very organized, or both. Interesting stats, that we will let you argue about.
The LibertyFest strawpollers did a further analysis on the ballots, as follows:
They took out all the ballots that had one person as a “10” and everyone else as a “0”, to get a better idea of the common person support, and try to reject those who just wanted their candidate to win.
When they did that they threw out about half of the ballots. That gave them a sample size of about 55 — not statistically super significant, but an interesting view nonetheless, with everything considered.
So here are the adjusted average scores (again, ballots tossed out that just gave a 10 to one person and a 0 to everyone else):
Fischer – 6.82
Any Libertarian – 6.41
Flynn – 5.70
Bruning – 5.04
Stenberg – 4.78
Zimmerman – 1.46
Nelson – 0.32
They also had a Presidential straw poll and those results looked like this:
Tim Pawlenty 6.41
Ron Paul 6.27
Rick Perry 5.67
Michele Bachman 5.53
Herman Cain 5.45
Gary Johnson 5.14
Sarah Palin 4.95
Any Libertarian 4.77
Thaddeus McCotter 4.53
Rick Santorum 4.26
Newt Gingrich 2.88
Mitt Romney 2.73
Buddy Roemer 2.64
Jon Huntsman 2.29
Barack Obama 0.21
How about T-Paw taking it? That is an interesting gauge in a crowded race. And we doubt there was much organization by his folks there.
Wonder if this will be prophetic for his chances in the Iowa straw this Saturday in Ames.
The Heartland LibertyFest-ers also announced the politician who wrote the off-his-gourd email last week.
The pol wrote the email in response to a constituent regarding the debt votes in Congress. He called the Tea Party folks, “Traitors “ and told the writer to “save your bullshit!”
And that pol?
Douglas County Commissioner, Mike Boyle.
Gee, can’t imagine why Omaha voters found Boyle to be unstable when they voted him out of office back in his Mayoral days.
The deal is, pols and everyone who works for them get their fill of constituents and the general public who they don’t agree with. Everyone wants to tell them their opinion.
But one would generally agree that you don’t call your constituents “traitors” and call their opinions “bull shit”, even to the true crack pots. Especially doing it from your government funded email account. (Unless of course you are unstable.)
We are sure Boyle will get a few “attaboys” from his choir. But of course these are the same people who throw themselves wailing in the middle of I-80 if Hal Daub did a similar thing (which he would never do).
We look forward to the OWH editorial…
And then a few kilometers to the west in Lincoln, the Boldies had their flashlight protest in front of the Gov’s McMansion. Here was one observer’s impression:
This entire event was extremely strange. There was a strong pugent aroma of B.O. in the air from folks who had apparently already started conserving the water they are so concerned about.
Anyway, here is a video of the event. Note where the majority of the peeps there are from. And what their political persuasion is. And what party. And who they are voting for.
Quite the cross-section of Nebraskans, eh?
You may have caught the dust-up with Jon Bruning’s campaign and the Cabela’s incident. Apparently the Bruning camp put out an email about a funder that included the line:
“Dinner with Cabelas reception at Hillside Country Club.”
So the Don Stenberg camp jumped on it — a good political move — and the Bruning camp denied any real wrong doing. (The store or corporation that is “Cabela’s” couldn’t be a sponsor for a Federal candidate anyway.)
But what we were a little surprised at was the Omaha World Herald’s reaction, from their Editorial page:
We’re not campaign consultants, but we suggest that Bruning might want to proofread future messages. It’s probably not a winning strategy to urge Nebraskans to root for the Housekers, tour the Kearney Ark or go sightseeing at Chimney Rocks.
Now. It is one thing to criticize the candidate for what he does or what he says, etc. We would not have been surprised to see an ed using the same arguments Stenberg did.
But the OWH didn’t go that route. They took the snarky, sarcastic path. “Heyyyyyyyyyy Jon Bruning! Why don’t you learn how to spell! Dummy! Ha ha!”
Not to mention, that it is our guess that a campaign staffer probably hit send on that email and not Bruning himself. So they are really using their ink to crank on an underling who has probably already been yelled at by his/her boss.
So what should you take from that use of the editorial space in the widest read paper in Nebraska? That the OWH really, really hates Jon Bruning. And you should expect to read more and more hits on him and his campaign in the coming months. And don’t expect it to be subtle or pretty.
And the Dems apparently will have themselves a primary in the 2nd Congressional District. Joe Jordan says that state Senator Gwen Howard will be officially jumping into the race very soon (we had noted her a few months ago).
While we are not sure why Dems would vote for Howard over John Ewing (or, frankly, vice-versa), we look forward to all of the stories about how this means that Democrats will use up their resources on one-another and that can only mean good things for Congressman Lee Terry.
You know, like they do in pretty much every story about the Republican Senate candidates, and Ben Nelson. Right?
And thanks to Don Walton of the LJS for the shout-out He has a good summary of the Nebraska races in the Presidential year.
You know, a decent summary…for a Yankees fan.