First, let’s hit the numbers game.
GOP Senate candidate, Deb Fischer announces first that she has come in with $228,000 for the quarter. Robynn Tysver of the OWH announces…
Fischer’s numbers put her on the board in Nebraska’s GOP U.S. Senate race.
A few hours later Jon Bruning announces that he has more than doubled Fischer, taking in $583,000.
(And what was with the photo choice of Johanns standing behind Bruning?)
The thing about money in Senate races like this is, money begets money. The more you can raise, the more others will see what you’ve got and then want to give you. The fact that Jon Bruning has been at this much longer than Deb Fischer also helps him in this endeavor.
But we are going to look at this from the one other angle we haven’t heard from: Don Stenberg. Stenberg has been pulling in a number of national endorsements lately, and one would assume there are going to be quite a few checks associated with them. We are looking forward to Stenberg’s numbers to see what he has raised, (and what he has in the bank).
The funny thing about this race is that there are three potentially strong candidates. As we have said before, GOP voters are probably, in the long run, happy with any of them — as long as they can beat Ben Nelson.
Electability is going to go a looong way in this race, so while Bruning is the clear front-runner now, the undecideds out there have the potential to sway this one way or another.
For Deb Fischer to be straight-up competitive with Bruning, a much stronger quarter would have been expected. But we just aren’t sure this is going to be a “straight-up” race. There are going to be a few more twists and turns. There may have been a time when Fischer’s funds would not have made her competitive. We think this may be a different campaign.
And FWIW, Ben Nelson seems to agree as he swings away at all three candidates in his most recent ad.
Stenberg’s report is due by October 15th, and we hope to have more insight by then.
Onto the one everyone else has their eyes on.
And by “everyone”, we mean the New York Times (which we hinted at last last week), Washington Post and every political PAC which would like to spend all they want on a candidate and call it an “issue” ad.
As we mentioned before, Ben Nelson’s recent spate of ads received the attention of the Nebraska GOP, as the money has come from the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee — and not even from the Nebraska Democrat party as the ads would like you to believe. The rules state the max that can be spent on a candidate by an outside group is a little over $200K. The ads have cost closer to $700K.
But Nelson claims that these aren’t campaign ads, but instead are “issue” ads, that he just happens to appear in. You know, with him speaking to the camera. And with his name in giant bold letters behind him. “Approved” by him.
How any oversight org can look at that and determine that it isn’t a campaign ad is beyond us, but the lawyers at this point feel like ol’ Nellie may be in the clear.
But guess what? If he is, then the floodgates have opened wide for groups like American Crossroads to fly in with their own “issue” ads featuring candidates themselves. And everyone will simply point back to Ben Nelson and his “Skunk” ads, knowing where they smelled it before.
The Dems may have discovered that they were a little too crafty on this (if successful), possibly regretting it in the end. But mainly it just shows that all that campaigning law stuff is just a farce.
Somebody oughta protest over it, or somethin’.
By the way, nice quote from Nelson’s campaign manager, Paul Johnson:
“Nebraska Democrats don’t expect a lap dog,” Johnson said. “One of the things that we admire is his independence.”
Uh, last time we checked, Johnson lives in Shreveport, Louisiana with his family. Interesting “we” he is throwing out there.
Oh, and last time we also checked, Nelson was in Obama’s lap for votes on ObamaCare, the Stimulus and liberal Justice Sotomayor. Of course that was before he was up for re-election…
The pipeliners — pro and anti — are still battling it out in the northern and sandy areas of the state.
The pros have one other TV ad we hadn’t shown, so here it is:
And then the OWH printed OpEds from each side the other day. The pro side pointed out that the anti side continually demagogues the issues, spouting half-truths, lies and confusion to rile up the masses into a giant NIMBY ball.
And then the anti side’s guy came out, in the fifth sentence and did just that. George Ayoub of the Grand Island Independent said…
The Ogallala Aquifer is a vast underground sea…
A vast underground sea?
He then threw out half-heartedly the Wikipedia definition of the aquifer as a “shallow water table”. But trust us, the whole underground ocean idea — some kind of giant water cooler, bubbling just below the surface of the sand — is what the leftist are still trying to sell. They continue talking about an oil leak “polluting the whole aquifer”, and then the discussion veers off into the “our water is just too precious!” nonsense.
No one — NO ONE — has disputed what UNL hydrogeologist Jim Goeke has said — that any spill would be extremely localized, and couldn’t flow “through the aquifer” because the aquifer is made up of rock and sediment, first of all. It’s not some tank of water. And secondly, it flows northwest to southeast — so anything “upstream” can’t be physically touched.
Wait, what was that? Sorry, I was just looking at the shiny “Baby wipes, not oil pipes!” sign. It’s got a really cute crying baby on it, and the baby stepped in oil. That poor baby. So what was that about the oil in the ocean of water?
More or less.