Leavenworth Street has received reliable information that Bob Kerrey has polling info in his fist that supports his candidacy for U.S. Senate.
We have learned that Kerrey has polling data back (one of the reasons he has been delaying his decision) that tells him that he can beat any of the Republican challengers, save one:
As many have noted, Heineman, as an incumbent (no, doesn’t make sense to us either) has to make his decision on whether or not to run by February 15, 2012. Kerrey on the other hand, can wait until March 1st. That leads many to think that Kerrey may push his decision until after the 15th to see whether or not Governor Dave jumps in.
On that note, the Washington Post reports today that Kerrey just happened to plan to purchase a home in Nebraska some time soon. Timing is a total coincidence though, says Kerrey. He travels back to Omaha lots, so wants a place to hang out. You know. Has nothing to do with a Senate run, or anything.
And piggybacking on that, Joe Jordan did a Watchdog report noting the out-of-left-field attack by Ben Nelson on Heineman last week. Nelson was actually likely telegraphing to Heineman that if Governor Dave gets in, Nelson will campaign his hardest against him.
Would much of that really stick to Heineman, if it hasn’t already? We doubt it. If Heineman wants to get in, Ben Nelson or Bob Kerrey or anyone else is not going to scare him out of it. And frankly, Nelson doing his barking chihuahua routine may actually signal to Heineman that Kerrey is the one pulling his leash.
And that is the one person, likely, who may push Heineman into the race: Kerrey.
If it looks more and more like Kerrey would get in, then Heineman may be more likely to make the jump. Heineman would need to see the same type of polling that Kerrey did too.
And it is not easy to see where Heineman stands in all of this. On the one hand, if he does not get in, and a Bob Kerrey wins it, and tips the Senate to the Dems, there could be a lot of finger pointing his direction.
But also, if he does not get in, and Romney wins in November, he could be in line for an Administration position. Could that be better than a Senate gig? Hmm. Probably a bigger office. Bigger staff. Arguably a better gig than fighting every issue in the back rooms and flying back and forth to Nebraska every week.
Then again, there is power and prestige in the Senate. As Secretary of Whatever? Maybe not as much. Difficult decision. And then there is the part that even if you assume Romney has the nomination locked up, in no way does he have things in the bag in November. What if the economy turns around by then? What if Romney doesn’t catch on? Then Governor Dave would be siting in the McMansion in January with even more fingers pointing his direction.
Not an easy decision by a long shot. And do you think this little blog is the only one bringing these points up to Heineman? (He is reading, right? Right?!)
Well, point being that don’t expect Kerrey to necessarily announce what has been rattling around in his brain, this week. He can come up with whatever reasons he wants in order to wait until after the 15th. In the mean time, eyes will still be on Lincoln more so than Greenwich Village (you know, the place where Bob Kerrey has lived and voted in the past eleven years).
And in the mean time, state Dems are still using The Facebook to try to drum up support for Kerrey.
Of course when they say “independent voice”, they mean “independent of Nebraska voters”.
The Walk for Life was this past weekend, and how about that crowd of Republicans posing by Abe Lincoln?
Dave Heineman, Rick Sheehy, Jon Bruning, Don Stenberg, Deb Fischer, Lee Terry (among others). Mike Foley was there, but wasn’t around for this photo. And Speaker Mike Flood was back in Norfolk (with a family commitment) — you know, kind of like how one cabinet member stays out of the State of the Union speech? Might not be safe to gather every Republican in the same spot.
They are getting a little close to the teepee.