Jon Bruning’s camp released a poll done by the Tarrance Group of 500 likely GOP voters in Nebraska. Results as follows:
Spencer Zimmerman …1%
Wow, that’s some kind of spread. We would note that we do not have any indication that this was a push or message poll, though we do not have the full crosstabs either.
Then Rasmussen Reports released a Nebraska Poll as well.
They put each of the 3 main GOP candidates against former Senator/Governor Bob Kerrey, and got these results from 500 likely voters.
Say what you want about Kerrey having just shown up in Nebraska after an 11 year absence, and not having campaigned and GOP ads and yadda yadda. He has some serious ground to make up.
And note his numbers against Deb Fischer, who many Nebraskans probably could not pick out of a Dancing with the Stars lineup. (No offense to Deb, it is just that sometimes their “stars” are not necessarily that.) If Kerrey is back 10 points to an almost complete unknown, what does that say? People aren’t riding their bikes across the Deb Fischer bridge. Something is up. (And it ain’t Kerrey’s numbers.)
And we we will note again that today, the Club for Growth endorsed Don Stenberg. This could have some extreme significance. The Club for Growth will put its resources into the Stenberg campaign much in the way Senator Jim DeMint’s Senate Conservatives Fund has, along with
Americans for Prosperity FreedomWorks.
They have the ability to level the monetary playing field in the GOP primary so that Stenberg can go head-to-head with Stenberg on the air. This is no small matter.
With poll numbers like Rasmussen’s as well, Stenberg can make an argument that he can beat Bob Kerrey much like Bruning can. (Deb Fischer can try that as well, except that she will have a much more difficult time getting that message on the cablewaves.)
So while the money is there, we will wait to see if GOP voters actually come around to Stenberg over Bruning. So far we have not really seen any evidence that that is the case. But with a bombardment of (good) ads (hopefully with actors who don’t drop their R’s this time), Stenberg has the opportunity to make this a winnable race.
And on that note, we asked some local independent (from the campaigns) politicos their thoughts on the CFG’s endorsement. Some were shocked and see it as game changer. Others, not so much. A few takes:
- “This evens the playing field for Stenberg. He should be doing cartwheels.”
- “CFG’s determination to get into any race is based on the candidates philosophy and an assessment of resources that can enable them to win.”
- “The best barometer of a candidate’s viability is a combination of his or her ability to raise money from within the state and convince those who can vote for you to publicly indicate their support. By that measuring stick, this race continue to leans prohibitively in Jon’s favor.”
(More hopefully to come.)
Oh and btw, Rasmussen gives Governor Dave Heineman a 72% job approval rating. Yowsa.