First a quick Separated at Birth rerun from over a year ago (whew, time flies!):
Deb Fischer and President Taylor from “24″.
The latest Rasmussen Reports survey of 500 Likely Nebraska voters shows Deb Fischer with an 18 point lead over Bob Kerrey. It looks like this:
That Undecided number is significant. Remember that going into the final week of the GOP Primary, the polls which asked for an undecided found that number still nearly in the 30′s. Obviously this means that not only would Kerrey need to get voters to lean his way, he will need to pull them away from favoring Deb Fischer.
And while there is always a great deal of discussion about how spectacular the Bob Kerrey Campaign will be, it will not be operating in a vacuum. Kerrey’s voting history is much deeper and richer than Deb Fischer’s. Might Kerrey pound away at Fischer? Sure. But do not doubt for a second that voters will learn about all the things that Kerrey supports and has voted on which do not jibe with their views.
Remember that it is the Kerrey strategy to find out what the voters want, then convince them that you want the same things. That may prove difficult for Kerrey now that he has a significant record of NOT wanting the things that Nebraskans want.
These things always come in waves, and the Talking Heads always need something and someone to talk about, but Deb Fischer has been riding a Delta rocket of popularity the last few days as she rocked the Nebraska and national political world with her win on Tuesday.
Already one candidate in Texas described himself as the “Deb Fischer of Texas”. Politico wrote the “Ten facts about Deb Fischer“. And Charlie Cook, of the venerable Cook Political Report was on MSNBC’s Morning Joe this morning and batted away Joe Scarborough’s suggestion that the election was “Bob Kerrey’s to lose.”
No. I think this is the outcome Democrats would like least to see happen. She’s the least controversial of all the candidates.
(We noted this yesterday.)
We will not spend much more time rehashing the race, except to say that both Jon Bruning and Don Stenberg were gracious to Fischer in the face of their loss.
Think how difficult it must have been for Bruning to go to that unity rally for Fischer. Easier in theory than a Stenberg victory, since Bruning and Fischer traded few blows. But humbling, nonetheless.
It will be, and is in some ways more, difficult for Stenberg or Bruning hard-core supporters to get behind Fischer at the moment. We have no doubt that they eventually will, but we understand that these things take time.
Big wins for Lee Terry and John Ewing in Nebraska’s 2nd District. The prognosticators still cannot seem to get over Terry’s challengers receiving votes. We would say that it is simply a sign of the times and the character of the district. In the mean time, Terry still pulls around 60% and we will see if he does much less than that in November against bully, John Ewing.
Did we say “Bully”? Yeah, we did.
We are going back to Ewing’s mailer a week or two ago where he chuckled to himself that back in high school — HIGH SCHOOL — he was a starter on the football team and that Terry was “the water boy”.
Yeah, Terry was an equipment manager of the football team — while working a separate job all through high school, we would add. And having played high school sports we will say that we never, NEVER would hassle a team manger. These are students who are trying to help the team win and oftentimes trying to help the athletes personally. We never knew any fellow teammates who would demean them by using the term “water boy”.
And maybe Ewing was or wasn’t that kind of guy in high school. But as an “adult” his jokey comments demean every student who is trying to help their team, even when they can’t play and won’t get an ounce of the admiration and accolades the players get.
But it is nice to learn a little bit about John Ewing. Pass it along.
Back at the Senate race, Senator Mike Johanns went hard at it in Roll Call against the Club For Growth, and their attacks on Jon Bruning in the Senate race.
Johanns notes that the CFG is now trying to claim victory in the race, saying that their real goal was to defeat Bruning, not to try to elect Don Stenberg. Which is complete and utter nonsense.
As Johanns said,
“I feel bad for Don because he is a good guy that worked hard and beat his brains out trying to put this Senate race together. But at the end of the day I really think [the outside groups] hurt,” Johanns said. “The club came to Nebraska to elect Don Stenberg. Deb Fischer wasn’t on the radar screen with them. For them to argue that this was about Bruning is to rewrite recent history.”
We are hearing this from Jim DeMint as well — that he is happy about the Fischer win –, and we just chuckle.
And Johanns was uber-critical of DeMint’s efforts, to the New York Times, on behalf of Stenberg as well saying it would be…
“…like me going to Massachusetts and telling Scott Brown how to win,” he said of the freshman senator facing a re-election battle.
Finishing up on Kerrey, Johanns said,
“I would call Bob a friend. But my goodness, setting aside New York and where he’s lived, he supports cap and trade, believes the health care bill did not go far enough and voted five times to uphold partial-birth abortion,” Johanns said. “I don’t know where Bob goes.”
You thought he was gone? You thought he was out? Oh he’s still kickin’ ass and takin’ names, baby.
Hal Daub over 50% in the four candidate regent primary.
(Former Democrat Governor candidate Mark Lakers? 4th place with 8%…)
And by the way, the Secretary of State’s election results web site? Kicked ass.
Nice job John Gale and whomever else put that together.