The other day Deb Fischer’s pollsters said that Fischer was up by 25 points over Bob Kerrey in the Nebraska Senate race.
Kerrey’s team snorted saying there was “no way” Fischer was up by that much.
Then a couple days later a Democreat pollster announced that their poll showed Fischer up by…14 points.
Tell you what Paul Johnson: Fischer says 25, you guys say 14, lets just split the baby and say 20.
So right now the polls have Fischer up by 20, and Nebraskans give President Barack Obama a higher favorability rating than Kerrey.
Well one thing is clear: Nebraskans have accepted that Obama was born in America, but they haven’t accepted that Kerrey isn’t still a New Yorker.
We mentioned the other day that Chip Maxwell was running a write-in campaign for the 2nd District Congressional seat. We based that on his 84 page manifesto stating that he would do a poll in September to see where things stood against Terry.
Well, we heard from Chip, and we can confirm that he has changed his plans and will NOT be running a write-in campaign this year.
He also wanted to respond the the comments we received from a politico about Maxwell’s plans and thoughts on Lee Terry.
Here is what Chip had to say:
That was quite a rant by Anonymous Critic (AC). As Adrian Monk says, here’s what happened:
In October I met with Lee Terry to clarify whether he was running for reelection in 2012. He had ruled it out, but the rumor mill was buzzing about Bruning looking more vulnerable than first thought and a path to victory being viable for Lee. I told Lee that I thought the Tea Party was not a passing fad but instead was a chance to get the country back on track, but I wasn’t looking for a congressional campaign because my wife and I were co-chairing the annual parish school fundraising banquet in March. I was not looking for an overlapping congressional primary, but if Lee had not run for reelection I would have considered it.
In February there was a push in Republican circles to get me to run for county clerk. I just didn’t have the fire in the belly for that office. I told a half-dozen or so confidants (apparently I misjudged at least one of them) that if I ran for anything in 2012, it would be for Congress as a write-in. But I didn’t want to be the Ross Perot of Nebraska, allowing the least conservative candidate in a three-way race to win. Conducting a poll near the end of the race to see where I stood might have been a way to avoid that scenario, but that was getting rather convoluted. I have abandoned the idea of running.
AC was right about the book. I am coming out with a Tea Party manifesto. Apparently 84 pages was too much for AC. Bad news: the final version is 120 pages.
AC is the type of insider crony for whom the Republican Party is a club, a fraternity. No one is allowed to think an independent thought. Who cares about the merits of your public policy arguments? I don’t see you at the breakfasts and lunches and committee meetings. You’re not an insider.
I’m a middle class guy with a wife and four kids. I have used whatever time and energy I have for politics to engage the other side in the public arena – in the media if not in a campaign or legislative chamber – trying to rally like-minded folks and win hearts and minds that are uncommitted.
As to craving attention, what I love about politics and talk radio is the great conversation, the debate about how society can best move forward. You have to be willing to enter the arena of public conversation to engage in that debate. I don’t understand how you get people’s attention and try to change things without, well, getting people’s attention.
AC said passing on the primary was a lack of guts.
As to the school fundraising banquet, AC seems ignorant of what it takes for a grade school to pull off such an event. Running such an event is a part-time job for the better part of a year. It’s not just the time and effort. It requires a lot of donor dollars and volunteer hours from a range of people. Injecting the politics of a congressional campaign into that process would have been, at best, problematic. My school, Saint Cecilia’s at 39th and Webster, is not on the east-of-72nd chopping block for Catholic schools, but we can’t afford to be complacent. The demographics have been working against us for several decades. The school is a midtown anchor institution. The Cathedral area, Bemis Park, Joslyn Castle, Gifford Park, CUMC, UNMC — these areas of midtown would be much different without a healthy St. Cecilia’s. The fundraiser has to net six figures and I didn’t want politics to hinder the prospect of success.
Then there was the matter of four challengers to the incumbent in the primary. Splitting the challenger vote five ways seemed like an exercise in futility.
I like to think it was more a matter of brains than guts, but that’s not going to matter to insiders like AC who don’t want the status quo disturbed, locally or nationally.
As to the business about taking your shot and kill or be killed, I don’t approach politics that way. I am passionate and take strong positions, but in a live-and-let-live spirit. I’ve been told that’s naïve. Maybe, but that’s my approach.
I want somebody in Congress willing to fight the status quo. Doesn’t have to be me. If Lee wants to adopt what I pitch in my book and fight to get the country back on track, mission accomplished.
Well, say this about Chip: When he wants to comment on something, he’s thorough.
As we stated before, we like and respect Chip. But if his plans are for future elected office, we just don’t see that this is the right way to go about it.
Time will tell.
And so on this Friday of baseball and swimming, let us turn our heads and comments to the Presidential race.
Now you know it all comes down to polling, but tell our national readers this: Who is going to win the 2nd District? Romney or Obama?
Or maybe a better question: Does Obama have a CHANCE in the 2nd District? Or will his “good” chance turn out to be about as successful as Democrat Tom White’s run in 2010?
We have our theories. (As things stand now, Romney will blow Obama out of the water like Dave Phipps doing a cannonball into the Italian pool at the C-Link [we love you Dave!].)
What do you think?
Remember, people are reading…
Have a great weekend! And whether you’re at the College World Series or the Olympic Swim Trials, remember where you parked!