Poll: Fischer STILL holds double-digit lead

According to Public Opinion Strategies, Deb Fischer still holds a double-digit lead over New York challenger Bob Kerrey.

Deb Fischer continues to hold a commanding lead in the race for U.S. Senate.

Our Tuesday through Thursday track showed Fischer ahead of Bob Kerrey by a 16-point margin (55% Fischer – 39% Kerrey). She also has a solid edge among committed voters – 46% of likely voters saythey are definitely voting for Fischer compared to 32% definitely voting for Kerrey.

Public Opinion Strategies comes to this conclusion despite the OWH poll, which polled registered, instead of likely voters. They give results for likely voters as well — but note that they do not indicate how many likely voters they polled.

It should also be noted that the OWH changed their polling methodology mid-election as well, to add cell-phones. (Which would have added many more non-oldsters, who, you know, vote.)

We are anticipating possibly another poll yet this week,which should make it interesting.

But note that the OWH and another news blog reported first the OWH poll.
Why?

Because a double digit lead by one candidate garners ZERO interest by the public. They won’t read blogs, read websites or buy newspapers.

So the big story is going to be the “tight” race!

Hmmm. Have we heard this scenario before?
Welllllll…

Let us take you back just 2 years ago.
The OWH published their poll just a week out that showed Republican Congressman Lee Terry just 5 points ahead of State Senator Tom White.

Five points. (Margin of error, 4 pts.)

And who conducted that poll? Why Wiese Research Associates, the same outfit that conducted today’s Fischer-Kerrey poll.

The first sentence of Robyn Tysver’s story was: “ “It’s a race.”

The actual election results?
Terry 60.8%
White 39.2%

So even with the full margin of error, Wiese and the OWH had Terry up by 9 points just ONE WEEK before the 2010 election.

And Terry won by 20%.

If someone would send us the 2010 post election OWH article with their mea culpa on how incredibly wrong they were on their polling just one week out (which attempted to either sway voters, or just sell more newspapers), we would really appreciate it. For some reason we couldn’t seem to find it.

***

Oh and by the way, we are one week out from the election to see who will represent Nebraska in the United States Senate for the next 6 years. That Senator will vote on things like ObamaCare, wars, budgets, jobs plans and any variety of bills that come their way.

And what did the OWH spend over 2,000 words writing about in their Sunday paper?

A fence dispute in Cherry County, Nebraska.

Nice job.

28 comments

  1. Whatever says:

    Wow,, the spin today from LS is dizzying. Wasn’t this the same place that recently was saying the Kerrey internal poll was purposely skewed to favor him? Now all these polls show the race is within the margin of error, EXCEPT for the Fischer poll. Isn’t that just an internal poll purposely skewing in her favor to present a specific message? Can’t have it both ways, LS. And as for the OWH article today, if you still stick with fence dispute, you obviously didn’t read it, nor have you gone through the legal documents. The property and where it was located was never actually in dispute.

    Hey, Deb my still squeak this one out over Kerrey, but it is a toss up at this point, and your panicky spin just proves that things are going your gals way. Maybe a few more millionaires and billionaires, other than Kock and Ricketts, and try and buy this election for Debbie.

  2. Spin?
    Ha.
    Try reading again there, child. This post is about the OWH’s poll that uses suspect methods, looks at worthless results and has a history of being wildly off the mark.

    Other than that, they’re awesome.

    And again, you and the OWH have been sucked — for how many weeks has it been now? — by the Kerrey campaign into reading about lawsuit between neighbors that has not a shred of significance to the United State Senate race.

    I’ll give it to Paul Johnson here: he knows how to lead the OWH around by the nose. If you hear them barking like a dog, you’ll know he gave the order.

    And thanks for reading (on a Sunday, no less!).

  3. Macdaddy says:

    Kerrey says that Deb Fischer is so obsessed with a 100 acre plot of land that her entire legislative career has been geared towards acquiring said land. That is so laughable that I won’t be waiting excitedly to see if Matt Damon is going to play the lead in the movie. There won’t be a movie. Debra Winger will not be coming back to Nebraska for filming.

    In the meantime, Obama very likely was watching the Benghazi attacks in real time and the drones were armed, yet clearly an order to stand down was given. I wonder who gave that order? I also wonder if a Senator Kerrey, who would vote for Harry Reid for Majority Leader, would do anything other than whitewash the whole thing and protect the leader of his party? I’d say that is an affirmative. But let’s get back to the discussion about a fence, shall we?

  4. Some Thoughts says:

    Okay, this puts the polls into a little perspective and makes me feel better. I still want to see the district-by-district breakdown. My main concern is that Deb’s lead out state won’t be enough, if Kerrey is leading in the Omaha area. To that end, the OWH endorsement of Fischer was quite satisfying.

    What I find frustrating about the mudslinging accusations is that no evidence is put forward to justify what in theory would be a serious charge, that Fischer was trying to abuse her authority in office to settle old scores. If it’s true that she didn’t disclose something that should have been disclosed, then there would already be hard evidence of that. Yet I don’t see Kerrey bringing forth any such evidence. I realize that people sometimes make up whatever stories they want in politics, but it does rankle me that this type of thing is allowed to go on without any demand for facts. Are facts entirely out of fashion these days? Is no integrity left?

  5. Macdaddy says:

    Some Thoughts, this is what happens when people get panicked. They show appallingly poor judgement. It’s one thing when it happens during the night in a war zone and you’re 20. It’s another when you’re old enough to know better. The last shreds of Kerrey’s dignity just went over Snake Falls.

  6. IO is a moron says:

    Street Sweeper– why can’t conservative IO name one thing about ultra liberal Kerrey that she does not like. Certainly a conservative like IO could name one thing. This might be super area 51 stuff but I am beginning to think IO might not be a conservative. Please help me through this Sweeper I’m soo confused!

  7. ricky says:

    Glad to see Mr Kerrey’s ads about Ms Fischer have made an impact. I did not realize what a nasty neighbor she was. And greedy too.
    And vindictive, as when she used her position in the Nebraska Legislature to take her displeasure out on those that wanted to get the Snake River land she and her husband felt entitled to.
    A Kerrey upset would be a sweet come-uppance to Joe Ricketts and the Tea Party who threw their money behind Ms Fischer, who obviously is under qualified and not nearly as experienced as Kerrey and half the campaigner he is.

    ricky from omaha

  8. Interested Observer says:

    Street Sweeper said “And what did the OWH spend over 2,000 words writing about in their Sunday paper?

    A fence dispute in Cherry County, Nebraska.”

    Actually, the Omaha World Herald spent over 2,000 words writing about DEB FI$CHER’S lack of ethics as she made a deal to sell her neighbor’s land while the neighbor’s still owned it!

  9. Polling says:

    Glad to see Kerry is up in 2nd CD.

    Unfortunately someone needs to tell him and the OWH that you have to win the entire state to become a U.S. Senator… but I digress…

  10. Anonymostly says:

    Ricky, if voters really cared about experience, Barack Obama would be organizing communities somewhere rather than sitting in the White House. Fischer has more experience than Obama did when he was elected to the Senate. And she didn’t get a leg up in the election by unsealing the divorce records of J. Robert Kerrey. You liberals are real cut throat bastards when it comes to political campaigns. Of course, we all know Mr. Kerrey has plenty of experience cutting throats, huh?

  11. Interested Observer says:

    It’s particularly odd that some of you want to talk about me instead of the truth about DEB FI$CHER and the this failed land grab.

    According to the Omaha World Herald article today, even DEB FI$CHER’S long time friend and business associate who bought most of Deb’s land along the Snake River about a year after the failed lawsuit, is now on the record finally revealing the secret, inside dealings about this whole terrible act. DEB FI$CHER had committed to sell the Kime’s land sold even before she tried to take the land from the Kime’s!

    Are these the Nebraska Values that all of you support?

    Simple “boundary dispute”? I really don’t think so!

  12. Interested Observer says:

    Some Thoughts at 11:09 AM said

    “I have never heard Sen. Nordquist say on the record that Fischer approached him to try to stop the sale of the Kimes land to the state. Is that a fact or just speculation?”

    The Omaha World Herald article “‘Perfect’ land at heart of Fischer dispute with neighbors” said

    “State Sen. Jeremy Nordquist, a Democrat in the officially nonpartisan Legislature, says Fischer talked to her colleagues about her opposition “off the mike, colleague to colleague.””

  13. Anonymous says:

    Senator Nordquist is a tool. Heck you need a tool to separate him and Senator Mello. That aside, Nordquist is a tool who will do anything his liberal bosses tell him to do. It’s really a shame to because he isn’t without some talents, just bought in too much to the Tom White & Snowplow Conrad way of politics.

    Oh guess what? Fischer creams Kerrey, and sends him packing back to NY:)

  14. Macdaddy says:

    IO, would the Fischers’ long time friend be the same Jon Davenport of Valentine, NE who donated to Senator Benjamin E Nelson’s re-election campaign in 2006?

  15. RWP says:

    The dynamic duo Nordquist and Mello were given big campaign contributions by Tenet Healthcare (Kerrey’s on the board) to pay them ahead for hatchet work during the campaign. No surprise there.

  16. RWP says:

    Uuuuh, I thought the result of the lawsuit was the land didn’t change hands?

    The spiteful little biddy’s being more than usually mendacious.

  17. Macdaddy says:

    I guess so. Funny how the only people on record about this are Democrats.

    BTW, IO, have you talked to Bob today? Is he still planning on voting for that irascible racist, Harry Reid?

  18. Some Thoughts says:

    It sounds to me like Norquist has no actual evidence, only hearsay. Does he directly state that Fischer spoke to him about this issue, without disclosing her connection to it? Or is he repeating whispers that have no real basis? What are the actual facts about whether she had to disclose a conflict of interest, and did she do that? I’m tired of the innuendos and garbage. As RWP points out, maybe Norquist needs to disclose his own conflict of interest in this situation, if Kerrey is helping fund him! Who else besides Norquist is making these charges?

    As for Fischer’s supposed “deal” to sell the land, what’s the proof that she knew she was selling land that wasn’t hers? It makes sense to me that if she wanted to sell some of her land, she would need to have complete clarity about where the border between the two was located. I can easily imagine the story going like this: Deb talks to someone about buying the land, he wants to know if he’ll have access to the river on that part of the land, the Fischers ask the Kimes about this and the Kimes claim the land is actually theirs. Since the Fischers aren’t aware of that, or it hasn’t been that way for years now, they go to court to try to clarify the matter so that the sale they’re contemplating can proceed without this confusion. How is this a problem? I don’t understand why.

  19. Anonymous says:

    Macdaddy, we hope that you will be able to join the rest of us in the real world once this election is over. It’s fun to live in a fantasy, but sooner or later you’ve got to come back.

  20. ricky says:

    Good thing that voters gave Mr Obama the Presidency even though he was not that experienced. Now we have universal health care and Osama Bin Laden is dead and we ended dont ask dont tell and we got the dream act and the auto companies are saved and America is pulling out of Iraq and Afghanistan and on and on with the accomplishments of Mr Obama who is on his way to a second term.
    The Repubs and Joe Ricketts (Nebraska will never play at Wrigley Field now), should not have thrown their weight behind a candidate not tested in a state wide race.

    ricky from omaha

  21. Macdaddy says:

    Anon 10:41, you meant IO. Not me. IO’s the one who has been spinning tales that cover decades. I think it’s pretty easy to get a few people together to swear on a stack of Bibles about somebody else. Oops, none of them have had to swear on anything. Instead, we have a bunch of Democrats stretching the truth past the breaking point. Probably took no coaxing at all because the ends justify the means for you Lefties. BTW, you probably should have checked Mr. Davenport’s contribution records before you trotted him out there.

  22. Anonymous says:

    Bob Kerrey is a war criminal……killing innocent women and children……..is a lot more of a character issue than a fence!

  23. Anonymous says:

    “Don’t ask don’t tell” was wrong, not because it hamstrung homosexuals but because it put sexuality smack in the middle of the boiling situation of life and death warfare, which has always and ever been a detraction from war fighting ability. Until you have had to dress and undress every day with your ass inches from a dozen other faces, and then have to stand with them under fire, you really don’t know what you are talking about. It is not homosexuality that is the problem in the military. It is any sexuality in the barracks or berthing compartments or under fire. That’s why integration of women and men under military stress conditions makes them screw like hamsters and wrecks discipline, which every commander knows. Homosexuality imbeds this in the same way. But since Liberals don’t care much about defense and care a lot about social justice and using our troops like rats in a psychology experiment, it makes sense you are as stupid in this as you are in all else of which you speak.

  24. Anonymous says:

    @ Anonymous at 8:41 AM,
    It is obvious you’ve been hiding in your basement for far too long. Women are a vital component of our military forces now. They serve in combat – even as carrier pilots. Women have been fighting side by side with their male counterparts in the Israeli Army for decades and they kick ass!
    Why don’t you come join the rest of us in the 21st century?

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