According to Public Opinion Strategies, Deb Fischer still holds a double-digit lead over New York challenger Bob Kerrey.
Deb Fischer continues to hold a commanding lead in the race for U.S. Senate.
Our Tuesday through Thursday track showed Fischer ahead of Bob Kerrey by a 16-point margin (55% Fischer – 39% Kerrey). She also has a solid edge among committed voters – 46% of likely voters saythey are definitely voting for Fischer compared to 32% definitely voting for Kerrey.
Public Opinion Strategies comes to this conclusion despite the OWH poll, which polled registered, instead of likely voters. They give results for likely voters as well — but note that they do not indicate how many likely voters they polled.
It should also be noted that the OWH changed their polling methodology mid-election as well, to add cell-phones. (Which would have added many more non-oldsters, who, you know, vote.)
We are anticipating possibly another poll yet this week,which should make it interesting.
But note that the OWH and another news blog reported first the OWH poll.
Because a double digit lead by one candidate garners ZERO interest by the public. They won’t read blogs, read websites or buy newspapers.
So the big story is going to be the “tight” race!
Hmmm. Have we heard this scenario before?
Let us take you back just 2 years ago.
The OWH published their poll just a week out that showed Republican Congressman Lee Terry just 5 points ahead of State Senator Tom White.
Five points. (Margin of error, 4 pts.)
And who conducted that poll? Why Wiese Research Associates, the same outfit that conducted today’s Fischer-Kerrey poll.
The first sentence of Robyn Tysver’s story was: “ “It’s a race.”
The actual election results?
So even with the full margin of error, Wiese and the OWH had Terry up by 9 points just ONE WEEK before the 2010 election.
And Terry won by 20%.
If someone would send us the 2010 post election OWH article with their mea culpa on how incredibly wrong they were on their polling just one week out (which attempted to either sway voters, or just sell more newspapers), we would really appreciate it. For some reason we couldn’t seem to find it.
Oh and by the way, we are one week out from the election to see who will represent Nebraska in the United States Senate for the next 6 years. That Senator will vote on things like ObamaCare, wars, budgets, jobs plans and any variety of bills that come their way.
And what did the OWH spend over 2,000 words writing about in their Sunday paper?
A fence dispute in Cherry County, Nebraska.