A poll from Rasmussen Reports on May 17, 2012 was as follows:
The results on Election Night (with 98% in):
So, as it turns out, no one really changed their minds from six month ago.
They saw that Bob Kerrey only moved back to Nebraska to run for U.S. Senate when he saw that Dave Heineman was unlikely to get in.
They saw that Deb Fischer is a true conservative, is tough, willing to stand up to anyone in politics, could go toe to toe with Kerrey — and oh yeah, isn’t a Democrat.
We wrote right before the 2006 Senate election that “Ben Nelson is a Democrat!”. And many just chuckled saying, “Oh, but we know conservative Ben. He’s one of us.”
And then the Cornhusker Kickback happened, and voters clearly said to the newer Democrat, “No thanks.”
And we really don’t want to bitterly knock Kerrey, but his campaign was less than exemplary. His entire plan was to denigrate Deb Fischer and…well that was it. That was the plan. And it seems to have moved his numbers exactly zero percent.
(Oh, and campaign architect Paul Johnson’s first Nebraska loss!)
So it pretty much came down to,…Nebraska voters aren’t stupid. They see what you’re doing.
So congratulations to Nebraska’s newest Senator Deb Fischer. We have a feeling she’s going to be great in the U.S. Senate.
And so briefly on the political run-down, pre and post election:
A week ago, the OWH put out a poll showing Bob Kerrey trailing Deb Fischer by THREE points. She won by nearly SEVENTEEN points.
So…what the hell? What the hell is that?
And we don’t even know what to think because the OWH’s same pollster pretty much nailed the House race in Omaha — calling it a 4 point race, with Lee Terry winning in the end by maybe even less than that.
Then again, a local firm (NorthStar) nearly nailed the Senate race, but was off on the House race by 10 points.
We would love to see further analysis of all that.
And Lee Terry’s win reminds us of the a March Madness victory (or even a recent Husker win) — survive and advance.
Congrats once again to Terry and his team.
(And to Jeff Fortenberry and Adrian Smith as well on defeating their Bowl Subdivision opponents.)
And what of Mitt Romney and Barack Obama?
Well, Nebraska has clearly had enough — including the 2nd District. Alas, right around 50% +1 of the country does not feel the same.
And we’re sure the local populous will giddy about Biden/Warren ’16.