**Update at 10:55 am**
A poll by Gravis Marketing was forwarded to us in the Nebraska Senate race.
This race is very, very early, and not all candidates are even in or doing much.
We are told this is from a national firm that does various races.
That being said, here are the “Key Findings”:
“If the Republican Primary for the 2014 Nebraska U.S. Senate race were held today, would you vote for…”
Shane Osborn: 41%
Sid Dinsdale: 7%
Ben Sasse: 5%
Bart McLeay: 2%
“Have you heard of him?”
Osborn favorability: 44%
Osborn unfavorability: 9%
No opinion: 47%
Dinsdale favorability: 9%
Dinsdale unfavorability: 10%
No opinion: 81%
Sasse favorability: 7%
Sasse unfavorability: 10%
No opinion: 83%
McLeay favorability: 4%
McLeay unfavorability: 10%
No opinion: 86%
Survey sample: 1,842 registered Nebraska voters on 9/6/2013 to 9/7/2013.
All survey participants must have had voted in at least one Republican primary.
2.2% margin of error.
As we noted, we aren’t all that surprised by these numbers, considering all media thus far has been earned.
Interesting, though not surprising early numbers, but get back to us when some money has been spent.
- Kudos to the Ricketts camp for arranging sitdowns with both the OWH and the LJS to get featured articles on their candidate. The Saturday evening, post Husker game rollout –which otherwise seemed to make no sense — comes into a little better perspective with the OWH Sunday article, and then the LJS’s Monday piece.
- Also, when you get sit down with the reporter and give out “exclusive!” interviews, you get things like talking about how “different” your campaign team will be, and how your consultant is “widely respected.”
And that’s not to say that Jessica Moenning isn’t one of the better known names among Nebraska consultants.
But, not sure how you just sort of reference in passing the fact that she managed the Ricketts 2006 campaign (as Tysver did), and then skip that point altogether, as Walton did.
- The past couple days’ articles made it pretty clear of Tysver’s favorite (again, noting the “widely respected” consultant Ricketts has).
And then there was Don Walton’s intro of Mike Foley with a “with a strong message of conservative fiscal values and pro-life conviction.”
Funny that when, say, a Charlie Janssen came out with the similar — or the same — “strong message”, Walton labels him as pushing “hot button” issues.
- And then somehow the introduction of Foley by Jeff Fortenberry gets pretty much no mention at all?
The”introduction” by Fortenberry helped to establish Deb Fischer as a legitimate candidate in the Senate primary last year.
And with the crowded GOP field, many who we talked to figured Fortenberry’s introduction meant that Foley was just going to announce his re-up for Auditor.
Fort’s move was calculated and significant — and if Foley goes down, don’t think that whomever wins will forget Fortenberry’s early endorsement.
- We had been told that Matt Williams of Gothenburg was “out” for Gov. (Funny, we don’t remember Walton mentioning him before, yet no reference to the “chatter” on “the blogs”, huh? Oh well…) Walton suggests that he still may be in, so we’ll see. But another name in for Gov — and with a field that diluted — and you could see a name like Don Stenberg, who could win a primary based on name ID alone.
- We are hearing that Senate candidate Ben Sasse has been impressing the money movers and shakers in Omaha. But we still think Shane Osborn has the edge west of Lincoln. He’s already won statewide, and we think he generally comes across better than Sasse. Also, with Sid Dinsdale’s money and Bart McLeay’s Omaha connections, Osborn’s name ID will make a difference.
- As noted by Walton, Beau McCoy will begin a statewide Gubernatorial campaign roll out tomorrow, traversing the state.
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