A few caveats:
1) We can’t give you any of the crosstbas, etc.
2) It is a statewide poll but…
a) 700 respondents
b) 400 are 1st and 3rd District, 300 are 2nd District
3) We don’t know why they oversampled the 2nd District
4) So, you can take this with as many grains of salt as you can handle, but it may provide you with some broad strokes on the race right now.
5) If you’re not into it, please feel free to flip to another channel.
So, without further ado, here is what we’ve got:
Now here is the other, semi-strange, breakdown:
1st & 3rd District:
Why are they broken down that way?
Well, we’ll assume it was strategery of maybe just wanting to use those numbers to give one their best view.
And we would add that these polling numbers did not necessarily come from one of the Senate candidates.
We would just note that…
- Significant domination by Osborn.
- Interesting that Dinsdale continues to poll better than Sasse — even though Sasse continues to win the earned media battle.
- All of these numbers are prior to much of any paid media.
- Those Undecideds are still VERY high. Reminds us of the 2012 GOP Senate Primary. But, right now, it looks like they’d ALL have to break towards one candidate in order to take down Osborn’s lead.
But of course the key that is “right now”.
Lots and lots can change.
And again, if you want to dismiss this as “unscientific”, have at it.
Both Senators Mike Johanns and Deb Fischer voted against the Ryan-Murray budget plan — which eventually passed with the support of 9 GOP Senators. Deb Fischer noted on The Facebook:
Today I voted against advancing the Ryan-Murray budget agreement and will oppose the Senate’s final vote on the plan later today. I’m deeply troubled by proposed cuts in retired pay and survivor benefits for our military men and women, as well as cuts to payments that current retirees were promised. I was also disappointed this agreement delays nearly half of actual spending cuts until 2022 and 2023. I was elected to cut wasteful spending now, not to kick the can down the road and push the responsibility on to our children and grandchildren.
Shane Osborn as well as Sid Dinsdale announced their opposition early on.
We haven’t seen any statements from any of the other candidates.
Some interesting thoughts from Stu Rothenberg in Roll Call:
“…in Nebraska, former Midland University President Ben Sasse has consolidated support from Club for Growth and the Senate Conservatives Fund. But former state Treasurer Shane Osborn is obviously not an incumbent nor such an entrenched establishment figure that defeating him doesn’t exactly send a message. On the other hand, a Sasse loss would say more about the supposed influence of outside groups.”
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