For the next 40 days it will be like you have walked into a Las Vegas buffet of political ads. (You may need to loosen that belt before it is all over.)
Have at it, with the latest…
First, this morning, Jon Bruning for Governor hammers back at Pete Ricketts.
See it here:
This is tough against Ricketts, on the favorite theme of a Governor campaign.
Our guess is this is the last we will hear between these two.
Sid Dinsdale for Senate has a new ad called, “Community Banker“.
See it here:
The main thing Dinsdale has going for him in this race is his business background which dwarfs that of Osborn or Sasse. If voters are weary of hearing about ObamaCare, and Osborn overplays his hand on his military career, expect to see Dinsdale creep up.
And there is the little matter, that Sid has the ability to toss in just a bit of his own cash.
We are telling you now: This could get interesting.
Governor candidate Bryan Slone has a new spot called, “Rural Growth“.
See it here:
This is nice and all, but it comes off as more of a commercial about “Nebraska”, than about Bryan Slone.
Yes, Rural Nebraska is swell and yadda, yadda, yadda.
But why does that mean you should vote for this CPA from Omaha?
With 40 days left, we are sure Slone will pivot more from the touchy-feelies to the “vote for me” ads. But for now, this seems a bit of a wasted effort.
Pete Ricketts for Governor has a new ad called “Kids“.
See it here:
Well, if Ricketts doesn’t want to invite some sort of criticism of his family, he picked a funny way to do it. We already deleted one relatively “mean” comment here about the kids — and will continue to do so — but it makes it difficult when the candidate puts them front and center.
We will be honest: We don’t like these type of ads, in general. We don’t think it’s fair to the kids — who are probably pumped at the idea of being on TV — to subject them to the potential ridicule they can be under from this. No doubt Pete and his wife think they did a wonderful job — and they’re not bad. But you think their classmates will always be that generous?
Beyond that, we think there are better ways to show Pete is a good family man, etc., than to trot out the kids into your living room. This is much more than just showing them sitting next to Pete.
Now all that being said, we have talked to other politicos (not connected to the Ricketts camp) who think it is a great and effective ad. Maybe it is more memorable?
We leave to you to decide (but would just note, again, that you to tread very lightly in the comments).
Jon Bruning for Governor has TWO new ads out.
The first, features his wife and is called, “Deonne“.
See it here.
The second is called “Everywhere I Go“, about property taxes.
See it here:
We feel less harsh on the “Deonne” spot than on the Ricketts “Kids” one above, mainly because of the differences between a spouse and the kids in a political campaign. Also because it is a little less in-your-face with her talking to the interviewer, as opposed to directly to the camera.
We would guess that the purpose of this is to soften Bruning, after the shots he has taken on the negative ad front.
All we have to say about the second one is, Who decided to have him keep on the ubiquitous fleece vest with the “Columbia” logo so prominent? Is Columbia kicking into the campaign? Did REI or UnderArmour also bid on this?
We kid, we kid. But it is just a tiny bit distracting.
Finally (we think) there is the Shane Osborn YouTuber that was released on April 1st, the anniversary of…Shane’s plane landing in China!
And you thought you had seen the last of that? Ha!
See it here:
We will say a few things about this:
1) Like it or not (especially if you are a Dinsdale, McLeay or Sasse supporter) it IS a pretty compelling, descriptive story. You know what’s going to happen, and you’re still drawn in.
2) The Osborn polling must show that the plane story is going to soar him to victory (see what we did there?). While this may not be on TV, and his other non-China ad is running, we still received another email today from Shane’s campaign with, “we were surrounded by dozens of Chinese soldiers armed with AK-47s…”
We will be interested to see what the cut-off point really will be for a pivot to non-Hainan Island incident issues. We wonder if the goal is that every time you see Osborn talking about his work as Treasurer, or whatever thing he wants to talk about, you will always have the China stuff in the back of your mind.
Actually, we don’t wonder, we know that is the goal.
But Osborn needs to hit the other side hard, because the one-trick-pony stuff is likely already wearing on the voters.
And still on the Senate race, for what it is worth, the Washington Post’s Reid Wilson says “…Sasse has become a, if not the, front-runner.”
We do not know what polling Wilson is basing that on, but we sort of doubt that he is making that up out of whole cloth. We have heard that Memo-gate did hurt Osborn more than he expected, though we also know that the Sasse-camp has plenty of supporters who talk a very good game. This sort of statement behooves one to back it up with something.
There are campaigns who are or will be out in the field soon, maybe with competing polls.
Which ones will be self-fulfilling?
The biggie endorsement of the day is Sarah Palin going for Pete Ricketts for Gov.
You really can’t turn this down, but we wonder how many votes she really pulls. Back when she endorsed Deb Fischer, it was a bigger deal, because she came out of nowhere, to support a candidate almost out of nowhere, and it caused people to take a look at Fischer.
With Pete, it is not as if voters aren’t familiar with him. It sort of makes it much more about her, than about him.
Oh, and she just did a skit with Jimmy Fallon on the “Tonight Show” and has a new TV show coming out.
So there’s that.
Ricketts was also endorsed by political blogger Erick Erickson of Red State.
Erickson talks about Ricketts’s resume, then states,
Here’s the thing with Pete Ricketts. He’s got several opponents in the race. We’ve encountered one before in the US Senate race in Nebraska and didn’t much care for him then.
Frankly one of the other candidates, Beau McCoy, is a solid conservative candidate and my support of Pete is not against McCoy, but rather for Pete.
Interesting that Erickson went out of his way to also knock Bruning, then give a nod towards McCoy.
Erickson doesn’t have Sarah Palin juice, but he’s a somewhat big deal in political circles.
Jon Bruning was endorsed by the York News Times (“All the Fits That’s Print to News!“).
We have no doubt that the Bruning-ites would argue that more Nebraskans read the YNT than RedState.
Over in the Senate race, Rep. Jeff Fortenberry endorsed his former Washington, D.C. office Chief of Staff, Ben Sasse.
The Combat Veterans PAC endorsed Shane Osborn.
Remember the Seinfeld episode with “Opposite George”? Where George decided to just do the opposite of whatever his natural inclinations were? (Instead of tuna salad on toast, he has chicken salad on rye…untoasted!)
Well, when talking into a microphone, we sometimes think the Congressman should go “Opposite Lee”.
Instead of trying for the witty repartee, maybe next time just, “I am very pleased to be here.“