Ben Sasse: 31%
Shane Osborn: 25%
Sid Dinsdale: 22%
Bart McLeay 5%
We got these numbers after the Sasse camp sent us a link to the post on National Review Online, where Jim Geraghty says that the poll was commissioned by the Sasse campaign.
We aren’t real clear why the Sasse camp is sending their releases through National Review, but there you go.
In any case, this info from Sasse shows him jumping ahead of Shane Osborn now, but it also shows a significant jump by Sid Dinsdale, making this a “3-man race”. (Jim Geraghty’s words.)
Geraghty also says that the polling info from the Sasse campaign shows that the numbers for “Favorability” are:
And “Unfavorable” numbers are”
We are told, by Geraghty, the sample size of Sasse’s poll was 507 people, and was conducted April 26 through April 28th.
We have asked the Sasse campaign for further information about the poll — whether this is “Likely GOP voters”, percents by Congressional Districts, whether this was a “live” poll, and any other data.
We will update as we get further info.
The Sasse camp has a new TV ad out, entitled “Corrie & Alex“.
See it here:
We have already spelled out how we generally feel about a candidate’s kids in a political ad — noting Pete Ricketts’ in the last one. We were less harsh on the one when Sasse had his daughters talking about his wife’s ailment.
But for this one, we will let Matt Lewis at the Daily Caller give his take.
(First he reviewed a kids centered ad by Matt Bevin, who is taking on Mitch McConnell in Kentucky. This is significant, only in that whether you are for or against Mitch McConnell seems to be the theme of the Nebraska race for many cheerleaders.)
Now, let’s look at a more recent ad that, frankly, I think is a disaster. Maybe it’s just me?
I’m trying to figure out what I don’t like about this ad (there are so many things), but the bottom line is that it feels inauthentic. I mean, why would kids this age be so interested in ObamaCare?
The line, “He despises it,” feels especially coached (Sasse has been accused of previously supporting the law, I suppose it’s important to reiterate that he hates ObamaCare.) And calling their dad an “outsider” also feels like they are intentionally hitting some propagandistic message points that poll well.
Both these things got my “Spidey sense” tingling.
I’m left pondering a few things: Why are these kids so interested in health care policy (is this like Jimmy Carter getting foreign policy advice from his daughter)? — where’s mom? — why is it so dark? — and why is the music so damn depressing?
(Okay, the part at the end where the little girl says she wants a horse is cute! That saves it from being a total disaster.)
Ultimately, it seems that using your underage children in campaign ads is just as fraught with danger as writing about someone else’s kids being used in them. If you’re going to do it, you’ve got to do it right, and that’s easier said than done.
The problem is that candidates in, in the maelstrom of political war, they lose touch with reality — they cease to be good arbiters of what works and what doesn’t.
And once you get into this business of using family in ads, there is a fine line between cute and creepy; you never want to be on the wrong side of that line.
We agree with all of this.
The other day, the Daily Caller interviewed the head of Freedomworks, Matt Kibbe, to ask why they switched their endorsement from Shane Osborn to Ben Sasse in the Nebraska Senate race.
See the interview here (Kibbe talks about the Nebraska race, starting at the 4:12 mark).
FWIW, here is what he said:
“The development of that race was pretty interesting, because it became pretty clear to us that a lot of the establishment Republicans were gathering behind Osborn. And to us it looked like a good test of where he would caucus should he come to Washington DC. And [Ben Sasse] on the other hand was organizing around the grassroots, organizing around the kinds of Senators alike Mike Lee and Ted Cruz that I have a lot of respect for. So it looked like the new information was enough to make a switch and I think we made the right decision. It wasn’t an easy thing to do. We’ve never switched endorsements before. But I’d rather make the right decision than the wrong one.”
It is sort of interesting that Kibbe mistakenly calls Sasse “Osborn”. And it is certainly telling that a high profile endorsement like this seems to be based completely on whether you’re backed by either the Mitch McConnell clique or the Jim DeMint clique.
We look forward to the back-alley dance-off between the Sharks and Jets of the Senate.
The Osborn camp put out the shortest video in the history of campaign videos with this NINE SECOND one, entitled, “It’s Complicated”.
See it here:
This is an excerpt from a Ben Sasse speech on in Chautauqua, New York on July 14, 2012.
The text is:
“But I think it’s complicated and what I don’t plan to do is try to persuade you of either the demerits or merits of this bill.”
We assume he is talking about ObamaCare, but with pretty much zero context, we don’t know what to do with this.
Congressman Lee Terry has a new video out regarding the Keystone XL Pipeline, entitled “What more will it take?”
See it here:
This is what you got when you elected the great Community Organizer, America.
Congressman Adrian Smith has a new ad out, called “96 Hour Rule“.
See it here:
Yes, yes, it’s on ObamaCare.
But at least he gives it a “rural Nebraska” spin and gives a very specific part of the law he is trying to get repealed.
We give it two giant dog paws up.