To start things off, here is an SAB from @MertTheAvenger, (re–Tweeted by reader Jeanie Kenkel):
Nebraska Democrat Senate candidate Dave Domina and Sam the Eagle from The Muppets.
Let’s just say at this point that Lee Terry is fighting for his political life.
And he is not going down playing softball.
Hence the latest hit on Brad Ashford referencing the Nikko Jenkins murders.
It is funny how quickly the press — OWH, LJS, Watchdog — all immediately went with the “Willy Horton ad” reference. And we understand. It is reference to crime, so the media immediately goes to the only other thing they can think of.
And we will give that to them — assuming that is the route Terry goes as well. But he hasn’t, yet.
Our guess is that a Terry ad on this wil be less on the “Willy Horton ad” — Dukakis’s policies led to Horton’s release — and more along the lines of, “Even after Ashford sees what can happen under the current law, he refuses to change it.”
And that is a legitimate argument to make.
“Very bad thing happened because of Law, yet Opposing Candidate doesn’t want to change Law.”
Of course Ashford can, and has, argue that Jenkins murders didn’t happen because of the law and that changing it won’t stop a similar action in the future. And maybe he’s right, maybe not.
But this is a real argument to make without immediately jumping to the “It’s just like Willy Horton!” implications — suggesting that it is unfair in some way.
As we noted last week on the Twitter, The Cook Political Report has now listed #NE02 as a “Toss Up”.
From what we are hearing from local politicos, that’s about right. It really could go either way. We still think it will come down to how much Ashford is defined as a Democrat and whether 2nd District Republican voters are willing to let it happen.
We do know there are plenty of forward looking candidates, campaigns and wanna-bes who would look forward to a GOP Primary in 2016. But if they have learned anything, it should be that unseating a sitting Congressman is no small feat.
Here is the NRCC’s latest ad up against Brad Ashford (and we think you may be seeing a NEWER Terry ad up real soon):
And if you need to know much more about who Brad Ashford literally stands with, here he is with House Democrat Minority Whip, Steny Hoyer:
No, Ashford is not going to be some sort of “independent voice”.
We constantly roll our eyes at the Democrats labeling THEMSELVES as “moderates” or “independent”.
They’re party-liners who toe the party line.
And that’s fine.
But just don’t try to sell us, like Don Walton of the LJS does, that they “walk a different path.”
Oh that Dave Domina! He doesn’t take popular decisions! He doesn’t look at polls! He thinks policy is more important than party!
Oh sure, he ran for Governor as a Democrat and is running for Senate as a Democrat, hates the Keystone XL Pipeline, wants to legalize pot, supports ObamaCare, supports Amnesty, and wants liberal judges on the Supreme Court.
But he is an independent thinker, don’t you see!
Does Walton really write this stuff with a straight face?
ICYMI, here is the latest spot from Ben Sasse:
And here is the latest Brad Ashford ad:
And what are WE hearing from those engaged in Nebraska pols?
We don’t really get a straight line on the #NE02 race. The Toss Up analysis looks to be as accurate as it comes. And most agree that it is going to get INTENSE in the final campaigning days.
The Gov’s race is still Ricketts’s to lose.
One question we got:
“What does Ricketts do with the ‘Ashford/Ricketts’ ID’d voters? Especially if Ricketts feels he’s already got victory in the bag? Turn them out? Sit on it?”
And as we have heard from several politicos: with all the new faces, the Unicameral is going to be the Wild West next year.
So who will emerge as Wyatt Earp?