Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker dropped out of the Presidential race yesterday, after a bottle rocket type rise — especially in Iowa — and then a similar disintegration.
There are as many opinions on why his campaign fizzled as there are pundits.
My first thought was how similar this is to the Pawlenty campaign back in 2011. A Midwestern Governor, purple state, fresh face, likable. Pawlenty was ahead early in Iowa in 2011, then had a poor showing at the Straw Poll and was out by August.
But the irony was that many said if he had just stuck around, he could have won Iowa — and then who knows what may have happened.
I just wonder if the same will eventually be said about Walker. Sure he has some poor debate showings, and his media grasp on some of the issues were questioned. But most still say he is a decent guy who did a great job in Wisconsin. Others say he is over his head in Presidential politics, and that could be so. But strangely enough, that hasn’t affected a few of the candidates.
So the next question is whither his supporters?
“All of that < 1%…” you say? Well, I’d venture that his support in Iowa was much stronger, and would have eventually been stronger, than some of the polls show. And there is a major sugar-daddy who owns the Chicago Cubs who had been one of his biggest backers.
Where does HE and his bottomless pockets go now?
Many who were Walker supporters liked that he was a successful Governor. Rick Perry is gone too. Do they go to Christie? Jindal?
Or do they go to someone like Senator Marco Rubio, who gobbled up 5 of Walker’s Iowa County Chairs overnight?
(On that note, I was in touch yesterday with Walker’s Iowa strategic organizer, Eric Woolson. He said he hasn’t given a thought yet to moving to another candidate, and was looking forward to clearing some downed trees along the fence line.)
And interestingly, Walker ended his campaign with a call-out to other also-ran candidates to get out now, so the campaign can coalesce around the non-Trump competition.
And THAT will be an interesting game.
While Governor Ricketts thinks about who to support now that Scott Walker is gone, the guess here is that he won’t have to worry too much about the 2nd lawsuit on the Death Penalty petition.
The latest only contests how the ballot language would read for the Death Penalty repeal-repeal. Either way, it won’t make a difference. (Split all the hairs you want here, commenters.)
From our roundup of legal experts on the lawsuit over whether Pete Ricketts is a “Sponsor” in the signature petition drive, the consensus is, more or less, on how that term is defined.
It would seem unlikely that it would or could be based on monetary support — even though the previous NESC case on the matter seemed to imply that it could. And the point of the Governor’s “duty” regarding a law is unlikely to go anywhere.
Much of it could be based on discovery, and what the Governor’s involvement was with his aides, etc.
And at least one of our legal-Smeagols thought that the whole thing will get tossed on a motion to dismiss.