State of the Union, Presidential visit, State of the State, GOP Debate…and the first local poll of the new year!
What say you, on this Carl Curtis Open Comment Friday?
Chips & Bits
First, a note or two on the poll for Nebraska’s 2nd District.
In case you missed it, a group out of Kansas called, Remington Research Group, released the following numbers:
Chip Maxwell: 31%
Don Bacon: 11%
The Favorable/Unfavorables were…
The Maxwell campaign tried to give it some, “well, we aren’t suprised” manner — saying that it mimics numbers he has from November 2015. But they had to be doing cartwheels at those kind of numbers early on. Chip undoubtably has better overall name ID than Don Bacon, but Bacon has been putting some effort in.
Bacon had a big-scale announcement, quality endorsements and is raising serious money. So to be in the low double digits can’t be the greatest news in the world.
They are trying to take it in stride, saying,
Historically, early polls are not indicative of long-term outcomes in Nebraska. Early polls showed Governor Ricketts, Senator Fischer and Senator Sasse down considerably in their primary and all ended up winning. We feel very confident that General Bacon’s 29 years of military leadership experience and background as a conservative outsider will resonate very well in the 2nd district.
All true. The Sasse campaign might be the most analogous here, as far as the unknown quantity of the candidate.
But nonetheless, this should at least be a wake-up call for Bacon to be a bit more active on the “earned” media side, to get his name in the paper, on the radio, etc.
Sure people aren’t paying much attention now, and a strong, humming campaign will get heads to raise. But that will come sooner than everyone thinks, and all of this will get more interesting as the calendar pages flip.
Senator Bill Kintner made some early waves on the open vote issue the other day, before other events jumped in.
It should be noted that his move to have Committee Chairs elected on an open ballot got whacked, but not without a strong showing by Legislature conservatives.
I think the old school way of protecting senators from public scrutiny, is on the way out. As senators are termed out they are being replaced by senators that are open to better ways of doing things. I think we can get this done in 2017 when the new class comes in.
Also, it is important to point out that the vast majority of conservatives voted in favor of transparency. We just need to elect more conservatives.
We don’t have a problem in Lincoln that more conservatives won’t solve.
This is the prime evidence of backroom deals in the Legislature. It is to their advantage that people don’t understand it / aren’t paying attention.
But this is what went down at the Douglas County Board (cough-cough, wheeze-wheeze) and maybe eventually people will start to care — before it affects them in a way they don’t expect (and don’t want).
Sasse refuses to Roll with the Tide
Senator Ben Sasse took to the pages of the Wall Street Journal to argue against any changes to the Senate’s filibuster rule:
“…many want an end to cloture and the filibuster—long-standing rules that enable the minority to extend debate. It takes 60 rather than 51 votes to get anything important done in the 100-person Senate. Today that hamstrings the GOP majority in both houses.”
But Sasse sees that as a double-edged meat cleaver where an eventual majority of Democrats could cut the brakes lines Republicans would want to use.
He points out that rushing something through a government body shouldn’t be a conservative thing to want anyway:
Conservatism begins from a different starting point: Government is not the center of life. It is not the source of our rights. Government exists to provide the framework for ordered liberty—that is, to protect our God-given rights so that free people can freely worship, freely associate, freely build the next app, even freely root for Alabama football.
He ends with this note:
The Senate is not superior to the House, but it is different. Without the filibuster, the gap between House and Senate diminishes and with it our constitutional safeguards.
Sasse has envisioned his role in the Senate of late as a historian to the role of the Senate and a keeper of conservative values. We will watch to see how he elaborates on this position and the notoriety it brings.
(Note: Ordinarily the WSJ is a pay site, but you can read this editorial free right now. That could change. But this will also probably make the local papers soon enough…)
9/11 Trump Card
My debate score from last night?
Pretty much like everyone else’s:
Cruz and Trump at the top
Bush and Christie.
Kasich and Carson.
While Trump hasn’t shown lots of debating chops in previous sessions, he came out prepared and effective last night.
Many thought Cruz got him on the “birther” issue, but the fact that he made it an incident for Cruz meant that Trump won it.
And he even forced Cruz to applaud his answer on the “conservative” New Yorkers issue and 9/11.
Iowa will still be interesting for Trump. Many think he doesn’t have the organization to do well there (will the supporters that flood his rallies show up at the caucuses? Is there a great reason they wouldn’t?).
But Trump knows this, and an attempt to knock Cruz down a few pegs could mean that his support is diluted.
Gonna be a crazy few weeks.
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Have a great weekend!