Yes, I correctly predicted the Cruz win last night.
And, I had that strange tingly feeling on the back of my neck that Hillary Clinton’s coin-flip calling skills would be gold last night. Gold!
But I must call out reader and commenter Scotty McHenry who not only called it for Cruz (before the caucuses began), but pretty much nailed the whole evening:
Cruz slips by Trump with a better ground game but the real story is how close Rubio is to beating them both.
On the dem side Hillary barely defeats Sanders. Again, due to a better ground game. But the story tomorrow will be how Hillary was nearly defeated.
In other news, Scotty just advised a guy that he would kill his father and marry his mother…
So along with the Clinton campaign’s astounding “luck” at winning coin tosses, rock-paper-scissors and “the number that’s in my head”, there were other theatrics as well.
Someone from the Carson camp mentioned that the Dr. would be going to Florida before going to New Hampshire, and that turned into “Carson is quitting the race!”. This was reportedly stated to caucus-goers in Johnson County, and was now infamously Tweeted by Rep. Steve King as well. (Sort of curious that all of this was done by the Cruz supporters…)
Carson looks like he is out. Iowans need to know before they vote. Most will go to Cruz, I hope. https://t.co/lW5Js50EMA
— Steve King (@SteveKingIA) February 2, 2016
My guess is there is some sort of deniability by those who shouted this stuff — claiming they were only respouting what they heard. And the Carson folks didn’t help much with the “getting a change of clothes in Florida” thing either. (It wouldn’t have been that hard to say he was spending a half day in Florida before jetting up to New Hampshire.)
But it should at least put the Trump and Rubio folks on notice that the Cruzers will be going for the throat again and again and again.
So what next in New Hampshire?
(Iowa) is Ted’s high point. Won’t get any better for him after this. Marco vs Trump.
My speculation is a Trump win — maybe even a Rubio second — and then a brawl in South Carolina. And reportedly, Cruz is already concentrating on the Super Tuesday states in anticipation of a flat performance in the Granite and Palmetto states.
(And by the way, in the next dystopian movie, they should re-name all the states that way: “Palmetto”, “Granite”, “Hawkeye”, “Lone Star”, “Cornhusker”.
“Where are ya’ll headed to?”
“Big Sky, by way of Great Potatoes.”)
Have a Koch and a smile
Nebraska Senator Ben Sasse was heralded by many Twitterers for his work against Trump in the final weeks of the Iowa campaign.
No word whether Sasse would be off to New Hampshire to dive into the campaigning ’round Dixville Notch.
In the mean time, he was at the Koch Brothers retreat in Southern California, where the discussion is how much to spend in an anti-Trump campaign.
FEC what’s shaking
A little news in the FEC Report areas.
Don Bacon and Brad Ashford announced their numbers. Ashford was strong-enough with around $300K for the quarter.
Well, we probably can put that in the “it’s early” category, but not for THAT much longer. Coupled with the not-great recent poll, the Bacon camp will have to step things up to show that they can take on Ashford — let alone out-name-ID Chip Maxwell, who they better not look past.
Getting your butt kicked a little isn’t a bad thing for a campaign. It can tighten it up and set a little bit of a fire under it. But then people want to see some momentum as well.
And WHOMever makes it to the General will likely see a weird landscape in the autumn with the Presidential campaigns and the ballot initiatives.
In the mean time it’s doubtful anyone will be laurel sitting.
YOUR Bellevue Thuuuuuundersnow!
Enjoy the ThunderSnow!
(Again, my preferred name for a minor-league hockey team.)