Is there a mob of 18 year olds with torches and pitchforks outside the Capitol in Lincoln who are demanding to serve in the Legislature?
Is there greater than 1% of Nebraska 18 year-olds who can NAME their State Senator?
(OK, doing quick poll…and…)
No! There is not.
We are aware that we put age limits on everything all the time, right?
The “well, if we can send them to war…” argument doesn’t even work here because, guess what? The Unicameral won’t be sending them off to Syria. The Congress — which has age restrictions — and the President — which has an age restriction — will.
Look, 18 year olds don’t vote. They have no real life experiences on which to base anything, and therefore, don’t have lots to contribute. And this is speaking as a former 18 year old. And I’m fairly sure I thought I knew everything at that age.
So first, Legislature, decide that you think 18 year olds are old enough to have a beer. THEN you can consider whether they should decide on raising your taxes.
(And once again, THIS is the kind of stuff that drives the average voter crazy. WHY are we talking about this???)
Fort n’ Nino
Congressman Jeff Fortenberry was on CNN the other day talking about his friendship with his hunting buddy, Justice Antonin Scalia. (Fort did not refer to him as “Nino”, so no word on just how close they were.)
He talks about Justice Scalia’s humor and thoughtfulness, as well as this thoughts on the politics that surfaced immediately upon notice of his death. And about hunting in the shadow of Chimney Rock.
See CNN’s short Fort report, here:
Tonight there’s gonna be a jailbreak
Are you familiar with the “Prisoner’s Dilemma”?
Essentially, it is…
A paradox in decision analysis in which two individuals acting in their own best interest pursue a course of action that does not result in the ideal outcome. The typical prisoner’s dilemma is set up in such a way that both parties choose to protect themselves at the expense of the other participant. As a result of following a purely logical thought process to help oneself, both participants find themselves in a worse state than if they had cooperated with each other in the decision-making process.
Here’s the scenario…
Two accomplices are locked in separate cells. Each is offered three choices by the police: (1) if both confess to the charges, both will be jailed for five years, (2) if only one confesses, he will be freed but the non-confessor will be jailed for ten years, or (3) if neither confesses, both will be tried for a minor offense and will be jailed for one year. If both know that the other will not be selfish and will take the collective interest into consideration, neither will confess and serve one year in jail.
(Lots more can be found at the Wikipedia entry.)
Why bring this up?
Keep it in mind as the GOP Primary continues, and consider Donald Trump as the jailor and the rest of the field as the prisoners.
Trump is getting anywhere from 30-40% of the vote. But many polls show that (right now, anyway) 60% are against him.
The best scenario for the non-Trump field would be to have all of them quit, except for one, who would then in theory go on to beat Trump.
But…EACH of them feels that THEY are that one candidate who will go on to beat Trump…if only the rest would drop out.
In the mean time, Trump continues to roll along.
Now the difference in this game is that the candidates CAN communicate. And in theory, they could go all Survivor and form an alliance to defeat Trump. And one of them gets Veep, and one Treasury, etc. etc.
But no one, right now anyway, sees that happening, because they ALL want the number one spot. None are willing to drop. Heck, there’s a USAToday poll today that says Kasich would have the best shot against Hillary. But does anyone think he’s going to dominate on Super Tuesday?
This is a situation that Donald Trump must have considered long ago, when he dove into the race. It most likely factors into who he attacks (Bush and Cruz, but not Rubio, Kasich or Carson).
Can anyone overcome it?
I haven’t seen a good breakdown of the Primary votes and how Trump getting around 30% per state (with proportional and winner-take-all situations) would do it for him. (If you have it, email it to me, or reference it in a comment.)
But one would think that until it’s a mano a mano in the GOP, Trump must be favored to take it all.
To be continued.
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