There a a million ways to slice it, but there seems to be a consistent view now, that the only way Donald Trump loses is if he cannot get to 1,237 delegates — as opposed to Rubio or Cruz reaching that number. In that case you have a contested convention, and all heck breaks loose.
But keep in mind that when Uber-Tuesday starts, you have states that give the delegates Winner Take All — Florida, Ohio, Illinois, Missouri — and if Trump wins those, it is likely game-over.
Of course, many note that Kasich could win Ohio. There is hope for Rubio in Florida…
But because some are more hopeful on this stuff, note the following:
Yes, that means that Nebraska’s May 10th vote would come prior to that date.
But with those numbers, one would think it would be a done-deal.
But with this weird year, who knows.
The Christie stare
Lots of making fun of Chris Christie standing behind Trump at his post-win presser last night but…a masterful move by Trump with that conference.
He could have done the bellowing from the pulpit to his fans like everyone else does. But instead, he took questions, answered them politely, complimented some of his opponents, and was generally calm.
And he is already looking post the primary, with his position on Planned Parenthood. You know that many Dems are one-issue on abortion, as many Republicans are. But Trump may have put that past, by saying no federal funds, but otherwise…praising Planned Parenthood.
Now it may piss you off that Trump isn’t saying he’ll stop abortion. But he’s saying “no federal money”, which has been the goal of many in the movement. And yet he doesn’t go so hard as to piss off the other side too much.
Again, maybe neither side is happy with that answer, but sometimes that is the compromise position. I’m not saying that is good, but it puts him in a decent, middle spot.
Senator Ben Sasse has been getting a fair amount of mileage from joining, or leading, the #NeverTrump ranks. He is pretty much saying he’ll go third-party, if Republicans nationwide choose Trump as the GOP nominee.
But Nebraska’s Senior Senator, Deb Fischer, is specifically NOT in that camp:
“I think a third option would give the White House to Hillary Clinton, and I’m not about to do that. Her first action as president would be to nominate a liberal progressive Supreme Court justice, that’s what’s at stake here and we can’t forget that.”
But the OWH, specifically reporter Robynn Tysver, tweets that Republicans have to come to grips with Sasse’s demands that “If GOP embraces politics of Donald Trump, ‘I’m out’ ”
Well, except that how do you define almost ALL of those terms (save “if” and “of”)?
GOP — the chair? the convention? the voters? the Congressional leadership? the governors?
embraces — where to go with that gigantically broad idea?
politics — same
(Sasse’s spokesman say he means the “identity politics”, but that doesn’t make it any easier to define)
Donald Trump — ok, we get that — but WHICH of his “politics”, if you define that term? The wall? foreign policy? tax policy? ObamaCare? Some of those? All of those?
out — leave the party? just not vote for him? follow a 3rd Presidential party? start a new party?
As I’ve said before, I think Sasse’s goal here is to go hard-core, so that GOP voters see a stark contrast, and don’t think a Trump vote is any sort of option.
And that’s not a bad strategy, in the Primary.
But if Trump does end up getting the nomination fair and square, Sasse putting his thumb into the eye of all of Trump’s voters is…a different move.
But until then, it is probably the only move the rest of the GOP has at this point.
Gym Rat Draft?
But there are SOME supporters who don’t see Sasse’s play as just a political gambit.
Late yesterday THIS site started:
They are basically via the Twitter handle @DraftSasse, but also made a bare-bones web page at DraftSasse.com.
For a while, they were even putting up first-person Tweets, as if Ben was putting them up himself. But that seems to have changed.
They now state…
We are collective of conservative young people who want to encourage him to run, should trump win the nomination.
Our mission is to gauge wether there is enough interest among conservatives to support and unite behind Sen. Sasse.
Sasse hasn’t “disavowed” the site, but one of his lieutenants, Jordan Gehrke, tweeted back at them:
— Jordan Gehrke (@jmgehrke) March 2, 2016
And he asked them to stop tweeting under the name “Ben Sasse”.
Then again, the OWH cartoonist Jeff Koterba joined the fray as well…
Pete’s Mom’s PAC
And Pete Rickett’s mom has a new ad out against Trump.
Well, from “Our Principles PAC” that “she” is funding, anyway:
THAT should get the Speaker’s attention…
And in all that excitement on Super Tuesday, freshman House member, from the minority party, Brad Ashford, proposed amending the Constitution to require a balanced budget.
Because now he can say he did!
Dr. Ben Carson’s statement on suspending his campaign for President:
I have decided not to attend the Fox News GOP Presidential Debate tomorrow night in Detroit. Even though I will not be in my hometown of Detroit on Thursday, I remain deeply committed to my home nation, America. I do not see a political path forward in light of last evening’s Super Tuesday primary results. However, this grassroots movement on behalf of “We the People” will continue. Along with millions of patriots who have supported my campaign for President, I remain committed to Saving America for Future Generations. We must not depart from our goals to restore what God and our Founders intended for this exceptional nation.
I appreciate the support, financial and otherwise, from all corners of America. Gratefully, my campaign decisions are not constrained by finances; rather by what is in the best interests of the American people.
I will discuss more about the future of this movement during my speech on Friday at CPAC in Washington, D.C.
Exciting, real, stuff!
Be sure to listen to today’s podcast on The Wheels Down Politics Show with State Senator Beau McCoy where we discuss Super Tuesday, Winner Take All in Nebraska, Medicaid expansion and other issues before the Unicameral.