Has Nebraska already gone for Cruz?

Big8_1984_SmithDuring the returns from last night’s Wisconsin primary, numerous politicos expressed that Ted Cruz is the leader in the May 10th Nebraska primary.

One FOX commentator even referred to “polling” in Nebraska that indicated that Cruz was ahead.

Except upon contacting some Cruz peeps, there does not seem to have been any polling in Nebraska on the subject.

Does that mean they are wrong about who is likely to win, or that it is all up for grabs?
No. But right now we should keep in mind that it is based on nearby states’ results.

The so-called “Big 8” states have been successful for Ted Cruz. Think the old days of Bob Devaney, Tom Osborn and Iowa St., Kansas, Kansas St., Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., Colorado and Missouri.

Cruz has won Iowa, Kansas, Oklahoma, probably Colorado and essentially tied Missouri. Or, if you want to call it the “Original Big XII” you could throw in Texas.

In any case, there is a sense that Cruz will do well in Nebraska because it is more like those neighboring states than the SEC states.

In any case, hopefully there will be polling soon and we can all pore over those results…and then figure out who the Nebraska delegates are REALLY behind.

 

Learn it. Know it. Live it.

And the one thing that you will hear about repetitively over the coming months is Rule 40(b) of The Rules of the Republican Party.

As you may know, that is the rule that says to be nominated, a GOP candidate must have won at least 8 primary states. In theory, this means that only Donald Trump and Ted Cruz would likely be eligible to be nominated…

BUT!

Those were the rules for the 2012 convention. And there will be a brand new rules committee which will makes the rules for 2016, which will then be voted on by all of the delegates.

So they could change it to be an open field to nominate anyone…

BUT!

As former Speaker Newt Gingrich chuckled, why would the “Trump and Cruz delegates” change the rules so that their guy could possibly lose? Well…maybe because the delegates are not necessarily all Trump and Cruz people. They are delegates, but their allegiances are all over the place. And as July rolls around, they might just WANT the opportunity to think outside the Trump-Cruz box, especially if they are on the 15th ballot, or something.

(Jonah Goldberg wrote an excellent article on this today, which you should read.)

And if you don’t think this could happen, think to yourself if you ever figured counting in a Presidential election would go on for a month.

Again, there are a lot of people figuring that Ted Cruz could sew up an open convention on the 2nd, or even 1st ballot. Many others would simply love to see an open convention, just for the theatrics.

What will be interesting, is to see how much this weighs on the delegates to the Nebraska state convention, as they choose their national delegates.

To be continued…

 

Philly Buster

The Unicameral never stops churning, even if Ernie Chambers is just talking about how his bowels stew.

Medical pot went by the wayside — but will undoubtably come up again, hopefully with more and better information and evaluations. Or it could go to a statewide vote, though betting on that is unlikely to enrich you.

Though not an expert on the Unicameral, there seems to be some opinions that the filibusters could be, or could have been somewhat controlled, instead of letting one person’s ire steer the whole process.

But maybe some people like it that way.
Depends what you’re hoping for.

 

Achiest

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17 comments

  1. Jmurra says:

    It is possible to swing too wildly one way or the other. Kasich seems to have the intelligence, integrity, and knowledge to be the better of the whole bunch.

    • Bluejay says:

      Kasich is distorting the election results. He has no chance. His voters mostly would go to Cruz if he dropped out.

    • Khan says:

      Kasich’s whole game at this point is thwarting the voters that have continually rejected him in state after state by backing into the nomination in a brokered convention. That smacks of many things, but integrity ain’t one of them.

  2. Helen says:

    Helen Keller said:

    “Life is a succession of lessons that must be lived to be understood.”

    “For example, nowadays I always check to ensure that a plunger hasn’t been left in the toilet before I use it.”

  3. claste says:

    Just when I am trying to convince myself that Trump needs to do this or that differently, that idiot Obama comes rushing to the rescue.

    The day after Cruz won Wisconsin, the AP says “President Barack Obama has opened his final presidential campaign– against Donald Trump.”

    Not Cruz. Not Kasich. Not ISIS, Putin, China, nor the GOP itself. Just Trump.

    Last September, Obama said “America is great right now”. Since then, Obama didn’t endorse Sanders or Clinton in his own Primary. Yet he now campaigns against one Republican inside the GOP primary.

    Obama’s odd political bedmates – Rove and Romney, Hillary and Bernie, networks and PAC puppeteers like Joe Ricketts – obviously agree with Barack and see America as being great right now; with open borders and vulnerable to terror, serially apologizing, inefficient, wasteful, and eating every shit sandwich offered.

    If you hesitate to take a bite, those with brown teeth assume you mustn’t like bread. If you complain and honestly call it “shit”, they say you speak rudely like Trump.

  4. Anonymous says:

    Guess the state!

    Largest Socialist newspaper in the USA. Largest Nazi Bund in the USA. Largest wheel of cheese… and the highest per capital consumption of laxatives.

    It was the lip cheese that did it.

  5. The Grundle King says:

    Great column by George Will in the LJS today about the likelihood that Cruz takes the nom due to the meticulous preparation by his campaign. Good read, but this line had me laughing…

    “[Trump] thinks he can fly in, stroke a crowd’s ideological erogenous zones, then fly away.”

    Maybe that explains why he leaves some folks feeling orgasmic, and the rest of us feeling violated.

  6. Sparkles says:

    Another Tuesday night victory for the GOP in the state of Scott Walker, the failed presidential candidate and goggle-eyed homunculus hired by Koch Industries to manage their wholly owned subsidiary formerly known as the state of Wisconsin (thank you Charlie Pierce).
    A victory that many on the right seem reluctant to talk about – Wisconsin’s recently passed voter suppression laws. Laws which denied many their right to cast a ballot on Tuesday evening. Laws which were specifically crafted to deny many, many more their right to cast their ballot on November 8th.
    A law which a WI Republican state Senator admitted on Tuesday, on camera, would help Republicans in the general election.
    A law other Wisconsin Republican operatives have publicly admitted that behind the scenes, their fellow GOP lawmakers were “giddy about the ramifications and literally singled out the prospects of suppressing minority and college voters.”
    Just as sundry Republican lawmakers from red states throughout the nation have admitted, on 6 other occasions in the recent past – Voter I.D. bills are politically motivated efforts to disenfranchise minorities, the young and poor Americans. All of these groups, of course, leaning heavily democratic.

    But that’s okay GOP.
    Continue your dastardly deeds, as if nobody is watching. As if the whole of the electorate is as ignorant and clueless as that portion of the base you’ve been carefully manipulating and whipping into a fearful frenzy since the early days of the Southern Strategy. Convincing them for decades on end that in order to save our God fearing, freedom loving nation from ‘the others’ (du jour), they must march forth to the polls and vote against their own interests.

    Just like the Winner Take All bill in the NE legislature – which every single Nebraskan knows is the purest distillation of partisan politics – benefitting not a single Nebraskan while at the same time silencing the voices individuals, communities and districts. A law insuring less attention will be paid to the Nebraska electorate.
    A vote somehow heralded by the base, because of course.. Obama.
    Ya, ya… we know “but they did it too! Weak. Tea.

    • The Grundle King says:

      I’m just curious…how do people make it in this world without SOME form of state-issued identification? I mean, you need one for practically everything.

  7. bynd says:

    “As if the whole of the electorate is as ignorant and clueless as that portion of the base you’ve been carefully manipulating and whipping into a fearful frenzy since the early days of the Southern Strategy.”

    All one has to do is look at the state of our political system today to know that the electorate is as ignorant and clueless a bunch as ever there has been. Look at the biggest zealot on this site. He considers himself informed and even more intelligent than any others. Garbage in, garbage out.

  8. Bob Loblaw says:

    SS, You just made me miss the old big eight. I want to play OU, K-State, & Mizzou. Give me back Billy Tubbs, Eddie Sutton, Norm Stewart, & Danny Nee in BBall.

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