One FOX commentator even referred to “polling” in Nebraska that indicated that Cruz was ahead.
Except upon contacting some Cruz peeps, there does not seem to have been any polling in Nebraska on the subject.
Does that mean they are wrong about who is likely to win, or that it is all up for grabs?
No. But right now we should keep in mind that it is based on nearby states’ results.
The so-called “Big 8” states have been successful for Ted Cruz. Think the old days of Bob Devaney, Tom Osborn and Iowa St., Kansas, Kansas St., Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., Colorado and Missouri.
Cruz has won Iowa, Kansas, Oklahoma, probably Colorado and essentially tied Missouri. Or, if you want to call it the “Original Big XII” you could throw in Texas.
In any case, there is a sense that Cruz will do well in Nebraska because it is more like those neighboring states than the SEC states.
In any case, hopefully there will be polling soon and we can all pore over those results…and then figure out who the Nebraska delegates are REALLY behind.
Learn it. Know it. Live it.
And the one thing that you will hear about repetitively over the coming months is Rule 40(b) of The Rules of the Republican Party.
As you may know, that is the rule that says to be nominated, a GOP candidate must have won at least 8 primary states. In theory, this means that only Donald Trump and Ted Cruz would likely be eligible to be nominated…
Those were the rules for the 2012 convention. And there will be a brand new rules committee which will makes the rules for 2016, which will then be voted on by all of the delegates.
So they could change it to be an open field to nominate anyone…
As former Speaker Newt Gingrich chuckled, why would the “Trump and Cruz delegates” change the rules so that their guy could possibly lose? Well…maybe because the delegates are not necessarily all Trump and Cruz people. They are delegates, but their allegiances are all over the place. And as July rolls around, they might just WANT the opportunity to think outside the Trump-Cruz box, especially if they are on the 15th ballot, or something.
(Jonah Goldberg wrote an excellent article on this today, which you should read.)
And if you don’t think this could happen, think to yourself if you ever figured counting in a Presidential election would go on for a month.
Again, there are a lot of people figuring that Ted Cruz could sew up an open convention on the 2nd, or even 1st ballot. Many others would simply love to see an open convention, just for the theatrics.
What will be interesting, is to see how much this weighs on the delegates to the Nebraska state convention, as they choose their national delegates.
To be continued…
The Unicameral never stops churning, even if Ernie Chambers is just talking about how his bowels stew.
Medical pot went by the wayside — but will undoubtably come up again, hopefully with more and better information and evaluations. Or it could go to a statewide vote, though betting on that is unlikely to enrich you.
Though not an expert on the Unicameral, there seems to be some opinions that the filibusters could be, or could have been somewhat controlled, instead of letting one person’s ire steer the whole process.
But maybe some people like it that way.
Depends what you’re hoping for.
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