[embedit snippet=”nebraska-ppp”]As noted here on Friday, Democrat Rep. Brad Ashford pulled in about $312K for Q1 of 2016. His Republican opponents came in at a combined $140K.
Ashford has around $900K COH, while Bacon has $162K COH and Maxwell $33K.
By most estimations, these are good numbers for Ashford and poor for Bacon, and poorest for Maxwell.
Though, as the argument goes, you don’t have to outrun the bear, you just have to outrun the others running from the bear. Bacon’s first goal is to get past the primary. And he is already on TV and has a bit of cash in his pocket to get himself past the line in May.
Ya never know.
Heck, just ask Brad Ashford, throw-away candidate whose campaign was an afterthought, if ya never know what can happen. (Whither Congressman Festersen…)
That likely goes for Maxwell too. He has held two elected offices and been on the radio, and is running against a newcomer.
Things look good for Ashford right now, but things could change.
Bacon has more cash than Maxwell right now, but will that be enough?
Maxwell showed some promise with early numbers, but can he hold the top tier?
It’s a long way to November.
But it’s getting short and shorter to May.
Berry berry good
Nebraska Governor Pete Ricketts had a very involved press conference on Friday to announce his veto of the bill to grant professional licenses to children of illegal aliens.
He had a couple legal immigrants on (one via Skype) to tell how much of a hassle it is to go through the process legally — and note that others shouldn’t just get to skip ahead.
And this made for a very strong argument…if it had been made a week before.
This is the proverbial closing the barn door after the horses have run out.
Baseball enthusiast State Senator Bill Kintner called the presser a “home run” — except that it was more like a batting practice home run after the game had ended.
How about, it’s more like an under the stadium batting cages home run, while your team is trailing 33-11 in the bottom of the ninth.
30 votes are needed to override a veto.
The bill had 33 on Final Passage.
That means the Governor needs to flip FOUR Senators from the previous vote AND hold onto ALL 5 Senators who “did not vote”.
Not technically impossible.
But a TALL order.
And are these late, late testimonials going to flip the Senators?
So again, WHY wait until AFTER the vote to pull out your big guns, go to the press, announce your intentions, make the big show…when it is way more likely that you’re going to lose?
Just to show that he’s committed to the cause?
Is the dog and pony show necessary for that?
Or is the plan really to rally in the ninth with a grand slam and perfect defense?
Sometimes there just aren’t enough baseball analogies…
The Presidential nomination and the GOP convention in Cleveland are still filled with lots and lots of “what ifs…”
But one of those issues that keeps coming up and discussed in 10 different ways is “Rule 40(b)” regarding WHO can be nominated. Note first that this can absolutely be changed prior to the voting. The rule is from 2012.
There has been a CW (and that includes me) that only Donald Trump or Ted Cruz could be considered because the rules read…
“shall demonstrate the support of a majority of the delegates from each of eight (8) or more states”
But here is the WHOLE section…
(b) Each candidate for nomination for President of the United States and Vice President of the United States shall demonstrate the support of a majority of the delegates from each of eight (8) or more states, severally, prior to the presentation of the name of that candidate for nomination. Notwithstanding any other provisions of these rules or any rule of the House of Representatives, to demonstrate the support required of this paragraph a certificate evidencing the affirmative written support of the required number of permanently seated delegates from each of the eight (8) or more states shall have been submitted to the secretary of the convention not later than one (1) hour prior to the placing of the names of candidates for nomination pursuant to this rule and the established order of business.
And note that it doesn’t say ANYTHING about WINNING a state caucus or primary.
It simply says that a majority of delegates from 8 or more states will write on a piece of paper that they support X candidate (or candidateS), an hour prior to person’s nomination.
So, in theory, this opens the nomination up to ANYONE who can garner support of a majority of 8 or more states. So, yes, Kim Kardashian could still get the nomination.
Further, there is an argument that various candidates could have their name taken OUT of contention, if they don’t get the requisite support prior to the established order of business.
So, in theory, this could exclude both Trump and Cruz from the nomination…at some point.
This all seems to only come in when delegates are free to pick whomever they want (right now, the 2nd ballot for Nebraska delegates).
Again, these rules could change — though it would have to be by a majority of the delegates agreeing.
But this reading means that things are a lot more wide open than some (including me) have suggested.
Click for that one weird trick
If you’re among the 55% of households paying The Man today, I feel for ya.
(Bernie says you’re not paying enough.)
You know what to do.