I said it here in September:
I think he has a ceiling under x% that he probably can’t top.
(Notice how I nailed the actual percentage…)
At the time, my guess was probably around 35%. And the CW was that there was no way he could win in a two-man race.
Now the question is, can Ted Cruz stop Trump in Indiana.
Many think that is the dividing line between a contested convention and Trump winning straight up.
Cruzin’ and Polin’
And the Cruz forces still think Nebraska is important.
Leavenworth St. was alerted that “someone” is calling on the GOP Presidential race in Nebraska, asking the Trump-Cruz-Kasich question.
But from there it is all, “what do you think about Cruz” Qs.
And extended sample:
If the election were today, who would you vote for? Probably or definitely?
- Might I change my mind?
- Who would be my 2nd choice?
- Who do I think is the most prepared to be president?
- Who do I think is the most prepared to be commander in chief?Statements: More/Less likely to vote for/No difference
- Donald Trump is facing a lawsuit from former students of Trump University, etc.
- On abortion, Cruz will order the attorney general on day one to investigate Planned Parenthood
- Cruz won’t allow entry of immigrants from countries with radical terrorism
- Cruz has a comprehensive plan to rebuild the military after the sequester cuts
- He is endorsed by Glenn Beck
- Cruz will repeal and replace Obamacare
- Cruz has introduced legislation to revoke citizenship from US citizens who fight with ISIS
- Kasich supported expanded Obamacare in Ohio
- Prior to being governor, Kasich received over $600,000 from a company, then after being governor, the same company received the same amount in state funds
- As president, Cruz will build a wall on the southern border and beef up the border patrolAgree/Disagree, somewhat/strongly
- Ted Cruz has a record of standing up to the Washington elite
- 5 former presidential candidates have endorsed Cruz
All predictions are that Cruz will hammer Nebraska for those all important Winner-Take-All delegates. Those Cleveland voters are a big deal, and the fact that it is one big bite of 36 could still make a difference.
Also interesting is that during Trump’s victory speech, he named a number of states where he was “going to do well”…Indiana, Oregon, California. But conspicuously (to me anyway) he left out Nebraska.
Has he already written it off?
Does he plan to battle for those delegates?
Will he visit and eat a Runza while putting on a CornHead?
Well, the last one is unlikely.
But one can hope.
And for your consumption, here is an interesting map from the Wall St. Journal of the current delegate breakdown:
With Trump’s foreign policy speech this morning, many were immediately hammering him on the Twitter for mispronouncing “Tanzania” — where he said something more like “tan-ZANE-ee-uh” (rhyming with Tasmania).
It’s a long speech, and I’d probably give him a pass.
But same goes with the Drudge and media freak-out that Ted Cruz — allegedly — called the basketball hoop at the “Hoosiers” gym a “ring”.
It got a top spot on Drudge, and many were saying how out of touch he was to say such a thing in Indiana of all places.
Here is a YouTube version of the press feed at the rally.
The point everyone is gasping at is at the :30 second spot.
And I will give that it does sound like he says, “riNG”.
Or maybe even “riMG”. Or possibly “riNGM”. Or maybe just “riM” with some mic feed.
BUT…go to the :20 second spot first.
And he CLEARLY says “How tall is that basketball riM?”
There’s no doubt about it. So I get where it sounds like he says “ring” (and if there was an image of his mouth saying it, that would make is clearer) but the idea that he doesn’t know that it is called a “rim” is dopey, and is simply fed by an idea that people want to believe he’s an out-of-touch doofus who doesn’t know anything about sports, Indiana … or the everyday Joe Sixpack!
That partisans on both sides can’t be a little more honest always disappoints.
And the cat is pretty much RRRRRrrrrrrr! out of the bag on who Ted Cruz is announcing for his running mate at 3pm today.
But funny to note that Jon Karl told this to George Stephanopoulos already this past Sunday:
— This Week (@ThisWeekABC) April 25, 2016
These things are difficult to keep under wraps.
Newt n’ Bacon
And for those of you keeping score, GOP 2nd District Congressional candidate retired Brigadier General Don Bacon rang up another endorsement today:
Senator Bill Kintner is taking credit:
— Bill Kintner (@BillKintner) April 27, 2016
Keep the Twitter dialed to @LeavenworthSt for updates throughout the day!