ICYMI, the race for Legislative District 7 will come down to a review of early and provisional ballots to decide who came in second. Former Democrat State Senator John Synowiecki has a 10 vote lead over incumbent (appointed) Republican Senator Nicole Fox.
They expect to finish counting next week, and then will have a possible recount in the first week of June.
All that being said, the winner, Tony Vargas, ended up with 400 more votes than each of the two challengers, and Fox would have a tough time in the Democrat heavy district.
Then again, you never know what can happen, and the final tallies could still be a big deal.
The Nebraska Tally for Trump
Pundits on both sides of the aisle are making a deal out of Donald Trump’s 61% win in Nebraska on Tuesday. On the one side, they are claiming a big win for Trump. On the other they are claiming that Trump should have done much better.
A cautious review sees that it was about just right.
Consider that just a week before…A WEEK… Ted Cruz was supposed to win Nebraska easily. He was going to rally in Lincoln, and there was had been talk that Trump might just cede Nebraska and go on to other states.
But once Cruz, and Kasich, dropped out, many Nebraskans probably felt cheated that they didn’t get to have their say. So some voted the way they had been planning to for months. Others jumped on with the likely nominee. And others likely stayed home. Consider that if you didn’t have a Congressional race — like in the 2nd and 3rd Districts — and didn’t even have a Legislature race, only your duty as a voter was pulling you to the polls.
And consider that in the May 2012 Nebraska Primary, Mitt Romney still only pulled in 70%, with Rick Santorum and Ron Paul getting the rest. And in 2000 George W. Bush got 78%, but John McCain still got 15% and Alan Keyes 7%.
Republican voters will likely eventually make their way to Trump, but it is silly to think that in a matter of 7 days, a mass of Cruz supporters was going to not at least let their voices be heard.
And in the end, only the Lancaster County Republicans didn’t give Trump a majority (by 1%).
The party has a lot of healing to do, but the Nebraska results weren’t evidence that any rift can’t eventually mend.
Feeling pretty good about themselves, the National Republican Congressional Committee sent a little gift over to their counterparts at the Democrat Congressional Campaign Committee: a basket of bacon (that’s Bacon, as in Don).
The “gift” included a note, which read:
We know you were heavily invested in the outcome of the NE-02 GOP primary election and things just didn’t go your way. In fact, you spent more than $430,000 of your own members’ money to see the very candidate you were afraid to face, Brigadier General Don Bacon, win with 66% of the vote.
So to help you cope with your loss, we wanted to provide you with a delicious snack that the entire office can enjoy – bacon. Everybody loves bacon, right?
NRCC Communications Department
Gloating aside, you have to admit that the DCCC spent a chunk of change in Nebraska and has absolutely NOTHING to show for it.
They didn’t send out any message to Nebraska voters, other than that “Chip Maxwell sure is conservative”. They arguably made Don Bacon more palatable to Democrats and Independents who have now been convinced that Bacon is more to the center than Maxwell.
And they put down a significant marker that they are afraid of Don Bacon.
That’s an 0 for 3 for the DCCC. And they now have half a million less in their pockets.
A little gloating by the NRCC probably doesn’t hurt to send the message one more time.
It ain’t over yet
The Nebraska Republican Convention is this Saturday, and it will be interesting to see if there are any fireworks in the end.
The odds are slim that there will be, but there seems to still be some life out there that things could get weird at the convention in Cleveland. Many of the #NeverTrump forces still seem to be competing in the primaries, and it wouldn’t be surprising if they tried to stir things up at the State and National conventions.
Leavenworth St. will try to keep an eye on it for you.
Be sure to particularly follow @LeavenworthSt on the Twitter for updates throughout Friday and Saturday.